Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (41.5%) and 24°C (33.5%) as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, reflecting ensemble forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models projecting daytime highs of 22–24°C amid mild southerly winds and seasonal spring warming. The close split stems from inter-model discrepancies—GFS runs slightly warmer due to anticipated clearer skies boosting solar insolation, while ECMWF accounts for lingering cloud cover from recent frontal systems potentially capping peaks at 23°C—against historical mid-April averages of 23°C and urban heat island effects in Wuhan. Updated CMA hourly guidance expected overnight could refine this before observations begin at dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
23°C 38%
24°C 34%
22°C 15%
25°C 10%
$16,522 Vol.
$16,522 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
15%
23°C
38%
24°C
34%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
5%
23°C 38%
24°C 34%
22°C 15%
25°C 10%
$16,522 Vol.
$16,522 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
16°C or below
$723 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,256 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,103 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,340 Vol.
5%
22°C
$1,120 Vol.
15%
23°C
$967 Vol.
38%
24°C
$1,373 Vol.
34%
25°C
$1,249 Vol.
10%
26°C or higher
$1,390 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (41.5%) and 24°C (33.5%) as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, reflecting ensemble forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models projecting daytime highs of 22–24°C amid mild southerly winds and seasonal spring warming. The close split stems from inter-model discrepancies—GFS runs slightly warmer due to anticipated clearer skies boosting solar insolation, while ECMWF accounts for lingering cloud cover from recent frontal systems potentially capping peaks at 23°C—against historical mid-April averages of 23°C and urban heat island effects in Wuhan. Updated CMA hourly guidance expected overnight could refine this before observations begin at dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$16,522End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (41.5%) and 24°C (33.5%) as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, reflecting ensemble forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models projecting daytime highs of 22–24°C amid mild southerly winds and seasonal spring warming. The close split stems from inter-model discrepancies—GFS runs slightly warmer due to anticipated clearer skies boosting solar insolation, while ECMWF accounts for lingering cloud cover from recent frontal systems potentially capping peaks at 23°C—against historical mid-April averages of 23°C and urban heat island effects in Wuhan. Updated CMA hourly guidance expected overnight could refine this before observations begin at dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,522End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (41.5%) and 24°C (33.5%) as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, reflecting ensemble forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models projecting daytime highs of 22–24°C amid mild southerly winds and seasonal spring warming. The close split stems from inter-model discrepancies—GFS runs slightly warmer due to anticipated clearer skies boosting solar insolation, while ECMWF accounts for lingering cloud cover from recent frontal systems potentially capping peaks at 23°C—against historical mid-April averages of 23°C and urban heat island effects in Wuhan. Updated CMA hourly guidance expected overnight could refine this before observations begin at dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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