National Weather Service forecasts project a high of 77°F in Denver today, April 11, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for 60°F or higher, as a persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence warming and downslope flow off the Rockies. Current morning observations at Denver International Airport show temperatures around 53°F under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles that indicate ample solar heating potential through sunset at 7:33 PM MDT. Normal highs for the date stand at 61°F per NWS climatology, underscoring the warm anomaly. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover delaying diurnal heating or an unforeseen afternoon cold front, though steering patterns show low likelihood; traders await hourly METAR updates for resolution confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 11?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?
60°F or higher 99.8%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$144,820 Vol.
$144,820 Vol.
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60°F or higher
100%
60°F or higher 99.8%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$144,820 Vol.
$144,820 Vol.
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
National Weather Service forecasts project a high of 77°F in Denver today, April 11, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for 60°F or higher, as a persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence warming and downslope flow off the Rockies. Current morning observations at Denver International Airport show temperatures around 53°F under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles that indicate ample solar heating potential through sunset at 7:33 PM MDT. Normal highs for the date stand at 61°F per NWS climatology, underscoring the warm anomaly. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover delaying diurnal heating or an unforeseen afternoon cold front, though steering patterns show low likelihood; traders await hourly METAR updates for resolution confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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