Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via AccuWeather, show divergent guidance for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with AccuWeather projecting around 27°C under mostly sunny skies and low precipitation risk (5%), while some runs imply upside potential toward 30°C or higher amid a developing upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry warming. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended outlook describes partly cloudy conditions, cool to warm with isolated showers, introducing uncertainty from possible cloud cover or southerly sea breezes that could cap peaks near 21–22°C. Trader consensus reflects this spread, as berg wind-like föhn effects from the Cape Fold Mountains have historically spiked autumn highs above climatological norms (23°C average), but model disagreements on ridge strength and wind shear keep probabilities tightly clustered. New SAWS advisories and model updates expected April 12 will likely refine odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 13?
29°C 21%
28°C 18%
27°C 16%
26°C 14%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
11%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C
14%
27°C
16%
28°C
18%
29°C
21%
30°C or higher
2%
29°C 21%
28°C 18%
27°C 16%
26°C 14%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
11%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C
14%
27°C
16%
28°C
18%
29°C
21%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via AccuWeather, show divergent guidance for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with AccuWeather projecting around 27°C under mostly sunny skies and low precipitation risk (5%), while some runs imply upside potential toward 30°C or higher amid a developing upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry warming. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended outlook describes partly cloudy conditions, cool to warm with isolated showers, introducing uncertainty from possible cloud cover or southerly sea breezes that could cap peaks near 21–22°C. Trader consensus reflects this spread, as berg wind-like föhn effects from the Cape Fold Mountains have historically spiked autumn highs above climatological norms (23°C average), but model disagreements on ridge strength and wind shear keep probabilities tightly clustered. New SAWS advisories and model updates expected April 12 will likely refine odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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