Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$72M Vol.

$6M today

$2M Liq.

7

Ends in 18 days

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$6M today

$47M Liq.

645

Ends in over 2 years

Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

98%

April 9

$9M Vol.

$5M today

$997K Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$515M Vol.

$3M today

$30M Liq.

839

Ends in over 2 years

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

72%

Péter Magyar

$61M Vol.

$3M today

$4M Liq.

685

Ends in about 13 hours

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

100%

June 15

$6M Vol.

$3M today

$405K Liq.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$543M Vol.

$3M today

$32M Liq.

342

Ends in over 2 years

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

41%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$47M Vol.

$2M today

$3M Liq.

4,026

Ends in 6 months

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

31%

Keiko Fujimori

$12M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

1,473

Ends in about 13 hours

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

25%

240-259

$2M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

95%

December 31

$33M Vol.

$1M today

$739K Liq.

1,536

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

39%

240-259

$4M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Elon Musk # tweets April 9 - April 11, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 9 - April 11, 2026?

72%

65-89

$2M Vol.

$989K today

$288K Liq.

1

Ends in about 5 hours

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

98%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$909K today

$68.1K Liq.

125

Ends in 19 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

3%

$6M Vol.

$862K today

$464K Liq.

1

Ends in 19 days

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

19%

June 30

$20M Vol.

$819K today

$862K Liq.

321

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

2%

$28M Vol.

$746K today

$893K Liq.

4

Ends in 19 days

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

76%

TISZA

$60M Vol.

$733K today

$3M Liq.

262

Ends in about 13 hours

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

80%

June 30

$19M Vol.

$724K today

$541K Liq.

404

Ends in 3 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

1%

$7M Vol.

$697K today

$907K Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 1592 active markets for Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.