Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 9-11, 2026, at 76% implied probability, driven by his blistering start of 25 posts on day one—aligning precisely with his recent daily average of 25-34 amid sustained cultural buzz around Tesla developments, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. The 23.5% on 40-64 reflects caution for potential slowdowns seen in quieter periods, while higher buckets remain negligible given historical peaks rarely exceed 100 daily without major catalysts. No disruptive events like product launches or controversies have altered his steady rhythm in the past week, but viral threads or real-time engagement spikes on April 10-11 could nudge totals upward, underscoring the market's sensitivity to his unpredictable social media cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 72%
40-64 27.0%
90-114 1.8%
115-139 <1%
$1,680,024 Vol.
$1,680,024 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
40-64
27%
65-89
72%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 72%
40-64 27.0%
90-114 1.8%
115-139 <1%
$1,680,024 Vol.
$1,680,024 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
40-64
$407,059 Vol.
27%
65-89
$153,769 Vol.
72%
90-114
$251,606 Vol.
2%
115-139
$244,446 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$122,395 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$65,320 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$85,361 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$49,009 Vol.
<1%
240+
$53,083 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 9-11, 2026, at 76% implied probability, driven by his blistering start of 25 posts on day one—aligning precisely with his recent daily average of 25-34 amid sustained cultural buzz around Tesla developments, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. The 23.5% on 40-64 reflects caution for potential slowdowns seen in quieter periods, while higher buckets remain negligible given historical peaks rarely exceed 100 daily without major catalysts. No disruptive events like product launches or controversies have altered his steady rhythm in the past week, but viral threads or real-time engagement spikes on April 10-11 could nudge totals upward, underscoring the market's sensitivity to his unpredictable social media cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,680,024End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 9-11, 2026, at 76% implied probability, driven by his blistering start of 25 posts on day one—aligning precisely with his recent daily average of 25-34 amid sustained cultural buzz around Tesla developments, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. The 23.5% on 40-64 reflects caution for potential slowdowns seen in quieter periods, while higher buckets remain negligible given historical peaks rarely exceed 100 daily without major catalysts. No disruptive events like product launches or controversies have altered his steady rhythm in the past week, but viral threads or real-time engagement spikes on April 10-11 could nudge totals upward, underscoring the market's sensitivity to his unpredictable social media cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,680,024End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 9-11, 2026, at 76% implied probability, driven by his blistering start of 25 posts on day one—aligning precisely with his recent daily average of 25-34 amid sustained cultural buzz around Tesla developments, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. The 23.5% on 40-64 reflects caution for potential slowdowns seen in quieter periods, while higher buckets remain negligible given historical peaks rarely exceed 100 daily without major catalysts. No disruptive events like product launches or controversies have altered his steady rhythm in the past week, but viral threads or real-time engagement spikes on April 10-11 could nudge totals upward, underscoring the market's sensitivity to his unpredictable social media cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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