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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 39.0%

Denmark 11.2%

France 10.6%

Australia 6.4%

Polymarket

$79,164,486 Vol.

Finland 39.0%

Denmark 11.2%

France 10.6%

Australia 6.4%

Polymarket

$79,164,486 Vol.

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Finland

$2,378,880 Vol.

39%

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Denmark

$1,228,709 Vol.

11%

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France

$1,712,569 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,471,835 Vol.

6%

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Greece

$1,630,191 Vol.

5%

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Israel

$1,491,496 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$1,199,448 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,832,985 Vol.

3%

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Romania

$1,214,680 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,414,471 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$1,031,770 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,302,704 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,631,510 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,383,685 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,357,505 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$1,409,019 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,385,936 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,905,114 Vol.

1%

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Lithuania

$2,556,207 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,800,690 Vol.

<1%

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Germany

$1,319,682 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$1,968,683 Vol.

<1%

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Switzerland

$2,895,413 Vol.

<1%

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United Kingdom

$1,281,047 Vol.

<1%

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Albania

$3,349,468 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$3,352,952 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$4,093,691 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$3,458,445 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$3,592,411 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$4,034,300 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$3,466,096 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$3,351,982 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$3,902,006 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$3,710,944 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$4,066,909 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 winner odds at 39% implied probability, driven by the powerhouse duo of classical violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen with their national selection-winning entry "Liekinheitin." The track's fusion of emotive strings and high-energy pop has propelled it to top streaming numbers, OGAE fan poll dominance—including 12 points from France—and broad appeal to both juries and televoters, echoing successful past Nordic campaigns. Denmark (11.1%) and France (10.6%) trail closely, buoyed by strong national final performances from their entrants, while recent announcements like Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse" bolster mid-tier contenders. With Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on 16, running order draws and rehearsals loom as key momentum shifters in this fluid pre-contest landscape.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$79,164,486
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 winner odds at 39% implied probability, driven by the powerhouse duo of classical violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen with their national selection-winning entry "Liekinheitin." The track's fusion of emotive strings and high-energy pop has propelled it to top streaming numbers, OGAE fan poll dominance—including 12 points from France—and broad appeal to both juries and televoters, echoing successful past Nordic campaigns. Denmark (11.1%) and France (10.6%) trail closely, buoyed by strong national final performances from their entrants, while recent announcements like Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse" bolster mid-tier contenders. With Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on 16, running order draws and rehearsals loom as key momentum shifters in this fluid pre-contest landscape.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$79,164,486
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

28%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

74%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

91%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 39%, followed by "Denmark" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $79.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denmark" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.