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Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?

Market icon

Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?

<125k 7%

125k-150k 5%

150k-175k 5%

175k-200k 3.9%

Polymarket
NEW

<125k 7%

125k-150k 5%

150k-175k 5%

175k-200k 3.9%

Polymarket
NEW

<125k

$54 Vol.

7%

125k-150k

$99 Vol.

5%

150k-175k

$105 Vol.

5%

175k-200k

$116 Vol.

4%

200k-225k

$105 Vol.

9%

225k-250k

$70 Vol.

39%

250k+

$133 Vol.

50%

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" first-week album equivalent units above 225k at nearly 90% implied probability, fueled by over 1 million Spotify pre-saves signaling massive streaming debut potential, sold-out Fenway Park shows, and the title track single's blockbuster performance—190k U.S. song sales in its debut week and multiple #1s on rock/alternative charts. Building on "Stick Season"'s multi-platinum trajectory and recent tracklist reveal plus international tour expansion announced April 9, hype has lifted expectations from February's 200-225k projections. With release set for April 24, initial Hits Daily Double tracking updates next week could solidify or shift the frontrunner for a likely Billboard 200 top 5 entry.

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$682
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" first-week album equivalent units above 225k at nearly 90% implied probability, fueled by over 1 million Spotify pre-saves signaling massive streaming debut potential, sold-out Fenway Park shows, and the title track single's blockbuster performance—190k U.S. song sales in its debut week and multiple #1s on rock/alternative charts. Building on "Stick Season"'s multi-platinum trajectory and recent tracklist reveal plus international tour expansion announced April 9, hype has lifted expectations from February's 200-225k projections. With release set for April 24, initial Hits Daily Double tracking updates next week could solidify or shift the frontrunner for a likely Billboard 200 top 5 entry.

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$682
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "250k+" at 50%, followed by "225k-250k" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" is "250k+" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "225k-250k" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.