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Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

$58,875 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$58,875 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finland

$11,166 Vol.

74%

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Greece

$6,624 Vol.

42%

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France

$1,336 Vol.

39%

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Denmark

$4,433 Vol.

38%

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Australia

$1,746 Vol.

30%

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Israel

$2,309 Vol.

31%

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Romania

$3,467 Vol.

26%

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Czechia

$162 Vol.

23%

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Cyprus

$241 Vol.

21%

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Italy

$1,007 Vol.

18%

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Ukraine

$3,341 Vol.

20%

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Sweden

$572 Vol.

19%

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United Kingdom

$70 Vol.

13%

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Belgium

$396 Vol.

12%

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Estonia

$61 Vol.

12%

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Bulgaria

$112 Vol.

12%

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Serbia

$109 Vol.

11%

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Latvia

$201 Vol.

11%

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Armenia

$544 Vol.

10%

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Switzerland

$153 Vol.

10%

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Lithuania

$437 Vol.

8%

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Georgia

$14,971 Vol.

7%

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Albania

$242 Vol.

6%

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Moldova

$117 Vol.

14%

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Croatia

$145 Vol.

5%

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Norway

$577 Vol.

5%

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Malta

$1,023 Vol.

4%

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Poland

$383 Vol.

4%

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Montenegro

$391 Vol.

4%

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Azerbaijan

$817 Vol.

3%

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Germany

$906 Vol.

2%

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Portugal

$238 Vol.

7%

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Austria

$242 Vol.

2%

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Luxembourg

$18 Vol.

15%

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San Marino

$319 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 top 3 finish after their dominant UMK victory with the violin-driven pop ballad "Liekinheitin," blending jury-pleasing vocals and crowd energy in a field of 35 entries now fully revealed following national selections. Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas, Denmark's emotive "*Før vi går hjem*" and rising Australian powerhouse Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" trail closely, buoyed by strong streaming metrics and YouTube views. Tonight's Eurovision in Concert in Amsterdam offers a critical live preview that could shift momentum via stage presence, with further pre-parties in London and Bucharest ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14. Boycotts add uncertainty, but balanced jury-televote appeal defines frontrunners.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,875
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 top 3 finish after their dominant UMK victory with the violin-driven pop ballad "Liekinheitin," blending jury-pleasing vocals and crowd energy in a field of 35 entries now fully revealed following national selections. Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas, Denmark's emotive "*Før vi går hjem*" and rising Australian powerhouse Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" trail closely, buoyed by strong streaming metrics and YouTube views. Tonight's Eurovision in Concert in Amsterdam offers a critical live preview that could shift momentum via stage presence, with further pre-parties in London and Bucharest ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14. Boycotts add uncertainty, but balanced jury-televote appeal defines frontrunners.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,875
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

28%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

91%
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Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

84%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 74%, followed by "Greece" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" has generated $58.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 3," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is "Finland" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.