Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Apr 14

Apr 17

Apr 21

Apr 14

Apr 17

Apr 21

TWEET COUNT
130
Time left
TWEETS
130
Time left

240-259 39%

260-279 24%

220-239 20%

280-299 10%

Polymarket

$4,041,704 Vol.

240-259 39%

260-279 24%

220-239 20%

280-299 10%

Polymarket

$4,041,704 Vol.

120-139

$118,045 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$175,544 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$265,540 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$219,846 Vol.

<1%

200-219

$205,684 Vol.

4%

220-239

$189,503 Vol.

20%

240-259

$166,405 Vol.

39%

260-279

$168,552 Vol.

24%

280-299

$167,913 Vol.

10%

300-319

$131,139 Vol.

2%

320-339

$117,175 Vol.

1%

340-359

$135,433 Vol.

1%

360-379

$154,012 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$120,185 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$147,724 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$135,874 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$117,635 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$116,067 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$267,067 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$87,676 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$60,826 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$89,642 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$94,268 Vol.

<1%

580+

$153,750 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 240-259 times on X from April 7-14 at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his sustained average of 25-35 daily posts established in the prior week's April 3-10 market, which resolved squarely in that range with 240-259 total. April 7 spiked to 46 posts amid SpaceX IPO buzz and high engagement, but activity moderated to around 25 per day by April 9-10 per X analytics trackers, projecting a full-period total near 250 absent major surges. The 260-279 bin at 23.5% gains traction as posting speed aligns per recent shifts, buoyed by today's Artemis II splashdown potentially fueling SpaceX commentary. With three days left, steady cultural commentary on politics and tech drives the clustered frontrunners, underscoring Musk's role as X's top engagement engine.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,041,704
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 240-259 times on X from April 7-14 at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his sustained average of 25-35 daily posts established in the prior week's April 3-10 market, which resolved squarely in that range with 240-259 total. April 7 spiked to 46 posts amid SpaceX IPO buzz and high engagement, but activity moderated to around 25 per day by April 9-10 per X analytics trackers, projecting a full-period total near 250 absent major surges. The 260-279 bin at 23.5% gains traction as posting speed aligns per recent shifts, buoyed by today's Artemis II splashdown potentially fueling SpaceX commentary. With three days left, steady cultural commentary on politics and tech drives the clustered frontrunners, underscoring Musk's role as X's top engagement engine.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,041,704
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "240-259" at 39%, followed by "260-279" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?" has generated $4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is "240-259" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "260-279" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.