Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $8-9 million range for "You, Me & Tuscany's" opening weekend at 61% implied probability, driven by Friday grosses of $3.2 million—including $750,000 in previews—that project an $8.3 million debut across 3,151 theaters, per Deadline tracking. This aligns with modest pre-release estimates of $8-12 million, tempered by competition from the dominant "Super Mario Galaxy Movie" in its second frame eyeing $71 million. Solid 94% audience scores on Rotten Tomatoes bolster word-of-mouth potential despite 68% critics' approval, while Will Packer's production and stars Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page fuel cultural buzz around Black-led rom-com viability. Saturday and Sunday walk-ups could nudge toward $9 million, but current trajectory solidifies the mid-single-digit frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office
"You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office
8-9m 60%
<8m 23.6%
9-10m 16%
10-11m 2.1%
$99,636 Vol.
$99,636 Vol.
<8m
24%
8-9m
60%
9-10m
16%
10-11m
2%
>11m
<1%
8-9m 60%
<8m 23.6%
9-10m 16%
10-11m 2.1%
$99,636 Vol.
$99,636 Vol.
<8m
24%
8-9m
60%
9-10m
16%
10-11m
2%
>11m
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $8-9 million range for "You, Me & Tuscany's" opening weekend at 61% implied probability, driven by Friday grosses of $3.2 million—including $750,000 in previews—that project an $8.3 million debut across 3,151 theaters, per Deadline tracking. This aligns with modest pre-release estimates of $8-12 million, tempered by competition from the dominant "Super Mario Galaxy Movie" in its second frame eyeing $71 million. Solid 94% audience scores on Rotten Tomatoes bolster word-of-mouth potential despite 68% critics' approval, while Will Packer's production and stars Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page fuel cultural buzz around Black-led rom-com viability. Saturday and Sunday walk-ups could nudge toward $9 million, but current trajectory solidifies the mid-single-digit frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions