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Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 28%

France 24%

Finland 21%

Denmark 8%

Polymarket

$982,334 Vol.

Australia 28%

France 24%

Finland 21%

Denmark 8%

Polymarket

$982,334 Vol.

Australia

$34,687 Vol.

28%

France

$16,879 Vol.

24%

Finland

$33,045 Vol.

21%

Denmark

$23,695 Vol.

8%

Czechia

$126,555 Vol.

6%

Ukraine

$9,308 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$46,401 Vol.

2%

Malta

$99,093 Vol.

2%

Romania

$10,839 Vol.

1%

Italy

$31,434 Vol.

1%

Israel

$28,892 Vol.

1%

Greece

$52,597 Vol.

1%

Latvia

$9,601 Vol.

1%

Azerbaijan

$12,424 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$12,506 Vol.

1%

Moldova

$32,036 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$24,139 Vol.

1%

Bulgaria

$39,189 Vol.

1%

Poland

$51,323 Vol.

1%

Armenia

$12,595 Vol.

1%

Germany

$66,010 Vol.

1%

Montenegro

$18,502 Vol.

1%

Serbia

$27,961 Vol.

1%

Austria

$47,826 Vol.

1%

Lithuania

$9,983 Vol.

1%

Portugal

$6,758 Vol.

1%

Albania

$8,457 Vol.

1%

United Kingdom

$21,808 Vol.

1%

Luxembourg

$11,744 Vol.

1%

Norway

$11,380 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$7,080 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$7,766 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$10,505 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$11,629 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$7,685 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 28% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, propelled by Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse"—a vocal showcase with sophisticated production that mirrors past jury-pleasing entries like ballads from established artists. France trails closely at 23.5% with 17-year-old Monroe's elegant "Regarde!", lauded for its orchestral richness and poised delivery in early previews, while Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen hold 21% on "Liekinheitin's" dynamic vocals and stage command from their UMK triumph. Differentiators include live staging execution and jury affinity for refined songcraft over high-energy spectacle; Denmark lurks at 8% as a dark horse. With Vienna semifinals looming in May, rehearsal buzz and pre-party reactions could decisively shift this tight race.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$982,334
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 28% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, propelled by Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse"—a vocal showcase with sophisticated production that mirrors past jury-pleasing entries like ballads from established artists. France trails closely at 23.5% with 17-year-old Monroe's elegant "Regarde!", lauded for its orchestral richness and poised delivery in early previews, while Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen hold 21% on "Liekinheitin's" dynamic vocals and stage command from their UMK triumph. Differentiators include live staging execution and jury affinity for refined songcraft over high-energy spectacle; Denmark lurks at 8% as a dark horse. With Vienna semifinals looming in May, rehearsal buzz and pre-party reactions could decisively shift this tight race.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$982,334
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 28%, followed by "France" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $982.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.