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Eurovision Last Place 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Last Place 2026

United Kingdom 28%

Austria 20%

Germany 10%

Estonia 6.9%

Polymarket

$49,948 Vol.

United Kingdom 28%

Austria 20%

Germany 10%

Estonia 6.9%

Polymarket

$49,948 Vol.

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United Kingdom

$2,970 Vol.

28%

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Austria

$16,398 Vol.

20%

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Germany

$595 Vol.

10%

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Estonia

$636 Vol.

7%

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Poland

$500 Vol.

6%

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Luxembourg

$458 Vol.

6%

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Albania

$405 Vol.

5%

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Georgia

$400 Vol.

5%

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Moldova

$450 Vol.

5%

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Croatia

$394 Vol.

5%

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San Marino

$515 Vol.

5%

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Cyprus

$405 Vol.

4%

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Belgium

$489 Vol.

4%

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Malta

$415 Vol.

3%

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Armenia

$683 Vol.

3%

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Azerbaijan

$518 Vol.

3%

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Denmark

$455 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$394 Vol.

3%

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Portugal

$418 Vol.

3%

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Norway

$397 Vol.

3%

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Israel

$648 Vol.

3%

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Lithuania

$454 Vol.

3%

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Serbia

$394 Vol.

3%

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Greece

$394 Vol.

3%

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Bulgaria

$625 Vol.

3%

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Montenegro

$456 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$527 Vol.

2%

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Australia

$394 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$563 Vol.

2%

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France

$638 Vol.

2%

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Switzerland

$420 Vol.

2%

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Latvia

$442 Vol.

7%

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Sweden

$524 Vol.

1%

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Ukraine

$805 Vol.

<1%

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Finland

$14,767 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the United Kingdom as the frontrunner for last place in Eurovision 2026's grand final, driven by Look Mum No Computer's experimental electronic entry "Eins, Zwei, Drei"—a quirky YouTuber synth-pop track announced in February that lacks broad televote appeal or jury-friendly polish despite its novelty. Austria trails closely at 18.5% implied probability, as host nation COSMÓ's national final winner "Tanzschein" divides fans with its abstract vibe and risky closing slot (25th in the final), potentially amplifying scrutiny during Vienna rehearsals. Germany sits third amid Sarah Engels' more conventional "Fire," buoyed by her pop credentials but hampered by tepid previews. With a crowded field boasting Finland's dominant "Liekinheitin" as win favorite, swing factors include upcoming first rehearsals, pre-party buzz, and running order tweaks, where staging execution could upend the bottom tier in this unpredictable contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final.

If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$49,948
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the United Kingdom as the frontrunner for last place in Eurovision 2026's grand final, driven by Look Mum No Computer's experimental electronic entry "Eins, Zwei, Drei"—a quirky YouTuber synth-pop track announced in February that lacks broad televote appeal or jury-friendly polish despite its novelty. Austria trails closely at 18.5% implied probability, as host nation COSMÓ's national final winner "Tanzschein" divides fans with its abstract vibe and risky closing slot (25th in the final), potentially amplifying scrutiny during Vienna rehearsals. Germany sits third amid Sarah Engels' more conventional "Fire," buoyed by her pop credentials but hampered by tepid previews. With a crowded field boasting Finland's dominant "Liekinheitin" as win favorite, swing factors include upcoming first rehearsals, pre-party buzz, and running order tweaks, where staging execution could upend the bottom tier in this unpredictable contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final.

If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$49,948
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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91%
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84%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Last Place 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "United Kingdom" at 28%, followed by "Austria" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Last Place 2026" has generated $49.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Last Place 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Last Place 2026" is "United Kingdom" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Austria" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Last Place 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.