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Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jordan Bardella 21%

Marine Le Pen 8%

Dominique de Villepin 6.9%

Polymarket

$36,092,114 Vol.

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jordan Bardella 21%

Marine Le Pen 8%

Dominique de Villepin 6.9%

Polymarket

$36,092,114 Vol.

Market icon

Édouard Philippe

$475,859 Vol.

24%

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Jordan Bardella

$701,271 Vol.

21%

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Marine Le Pen

$355,986 Vol.

8%

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Dominique de Villepin

$913,295 Vol.

7%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$303,294 Vol.

7%

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David Lisnard

$840,980 Vol.

5%

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Gabriel Attal

$945,863 Vol.

4%

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François Hollande

$662,447 Vol.

3%

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Jean Castex

$540,942 Vol.

3%

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Bruno Retailleau

$1,012,539 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$559,685 Vol.

2%

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Sarah Knafo

$1,036,378 Vol.

2%

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Gérald Darmanin

$442,831 Vol.

1%

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Fabien Roussel

$1,451,795 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Sébastien Lecornu

$694,463 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$483,526 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$439,758 Vol.

1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$1,429,150 Vol.

1%

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Manuel Bompard

$1,287,269 Vol.

1%

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Juan Branco

$359,204 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Xavier Bertrand

$1,083,636 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Olivier Faure

$1,211,897 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ségolène Royal

$1,432,384 Vol.

1%

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Clémentine Autain

$1,963,664 Vol.

1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,453,458 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Clémence Guetté

$1,758,618 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Laurent Wauquiez

$544,000 Vol.

1%

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François Asselineau

$1,851,125 Vol.

1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$1,747,242 Vol.

1%

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Marine Tondelier

$552,022 Vol.

1%

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Michel Barnier

$1,347,117 Vol.

1%

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François Bayrou

$1,793,405 Vol.

1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,509,912 Vol.

<1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$540,882 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mathilde Panot

$1,396,314 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Carole Delga

$969,963 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus slightly favors former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe over Rassemblement National's Jordan Bardella for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting Philippe's strong municipal reelection in Le Havre during late March 2026 elections, which fortified his centrist credentials and positioned him as the best-placed rival to the far right in recent runoff polls. Bardella leads most first-round surveys at around 36-37%, buoyed by RN's persistent voter base amid economic discontent and immigration debates, but trails narrowly in head-to-heads against Philippe (48-52% splits). The race remains tightly contested amid a fragmented field—lacking a clear frontrunner—with left-wing figures like Jean-Luc Mélenchon and centrists like Gabriel Attal splitting votes; separation could arise from formal candidacy declarations, shifting runoff polls, or national crises before April 2027 voting.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$36,092,114
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus slightly favors former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe over Rassemblement National's Jordan Bardella for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting Philippe's strong municipal reelection in Le Havre during late March 2026 elections, which fortified his centrist credentials and positioned him as the best-placed rival to the far right in recent runoff polls. Bardella leads most first-round surveys at around 36-37%, buoyed by RN's persistent voter base amid economic discontent and immigration debates, but trails narrowly in head-to-heads against Philippe (48-52% splits). The race remains tightly contested amid a fragmented field—lacking a clear frontrunner—with left-wing figures like Jean-Luc Mélenchon and centrists like Gabriel Attal splitting votes; separation could arise from formal candidacy declarations, shifting runoff polls, or national crises before April 2027 voting.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$36,092,114
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next French Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 24%, followed by "Jordan Bardella" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next French Presidential Election" has generated $36.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next French Presidential Election," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next French Presidential Election" is "Édouard Philippe" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next French Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.