Simone Venturini leads Polymarket odds at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, driven by unified centre-right coalition support from Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, UDC, and civic lists after Luca Zaia declined a candidacy in February. As current tourism assessor, Venturini benefits from regional centre-right strength and a late February Demetra poll showing him ahead of Andrea Martella 34%-30%, with recent campaign momentum including list presentations and endorsements boosting trader consensus for a first-round majority or strong runoff position. Martella, backed by a broad centre-left alliance of PD, M5S, AVS, and others, trails at 37.5% amid fragmented opposition. Minor candidates like Martini, Del Zotto, and Boldrin hold under 4% each, with no major shifts in the past week but upcoming debates poised to influence closely contested dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Giovanni Andrea Martini 3.9%
Pierangelo Del Zotto 2.4%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
2%

Michele Boldrin
2%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Giovanni Andrea Martini 3.9%
Pierangelo Del Zotto 2.4%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
2%

Michele Boldrin
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Simone Venturini leads Polymarket odds at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, driven by unified centre-right coalition support from Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, UDC, and civic lists after Luca Zaia declined a candidacy in February. As current tourism assessor, Venturini benefits from regional centre-right strength and a late February Demetra poll showing him ahead of Andrea Martella 34%-30%, with recent campaign momentum including list presentations and endorsements boosting trader consensus for a first-round majority or strong runoff position. Martella, backed by a broad centre-left alliance of PD, M5S, AVS, and others, trails at 37.5% amid fragmented opposition. Minor candidates like Martini, Del Zotto, and Boldrin hold under 4% each, with no major shifts in the past week but upcoming debates poised to influence closely contested dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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