Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Name: Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Start: 2026-03-27T16:33:45.879Z
End: 2026-04-19T00:00:00.000Z

Elections·Global Elections

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

GERB-SDS 92%

PB 3.5%

PP–DB 2.8%

DPS <1%

$41,988 Vol.

Apr 19, 2026

GERB-SDS

$20,501 Vol.

92%

$4,844 Vol.

PP–DB

$4,316 Vol.

DPS

$1,388 Vol.

<1%

BSP

$1,571 Vol.

<1%

ITN

$1,774 Vol.

<1%

APS

$1,948 Vol.

<1%

MECh

$2,373 Vol.

<1%

Velichie

$2,145 Vol.

<1%

Vazrazhdane

$1,128 Vol.

<1%

GERB-SDS 92%

PB 3.5%

PP–DB 2.8%

DPS <1%

$41,988 Vol.

Apr 19, 2026

GERB-SDS

$20,501 Vol.

92%

$4,844 Vol.

PP–DB

$4,316 Vol.

DPS

$1,388 Vol.

<1%

BSP

$1,571 Vol.

<1%

ITN

$1,774 Vol.

<1%

APS

$1,948 Vol.

<1%

MECh

$2,373 Vol.

<1%

Velichie

$2,145 Vol.

<1%

Vazrazhdane

$1,128 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

74%

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

94%

Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

51%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "GERB-SDS" at 92%, followed by "PB" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" has generated $42K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" is "GERB-SDS" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "PB" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $42K traded on “Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 92¢ for "GERB-SDS" in the "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 92% chance that "GERB-SDS" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 92¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 8¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 19, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

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