Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and Gallup (late March), consistently position Progressive Bulgaria—former President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment alliance—at around 30-34% for first place, GERB-SDS at 19-23% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% for third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This trader consensus, with PP-DB shares at 70¢ implying strong favoritism for third amid the eighth vote in five years, reflects voter fatigue with gridlock and Radev's surge consolidating fragmented opposition support. DPS trails at 9-10% (17.5¢ for third) due to steady ethnic minority backing but no recent gains, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist rise to 7-8% (7.5¢) adds competition; late shifts remain possible before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PP–DB 70%
DPS 18%
Vazrazhdane 6.0%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$46,504 Vol.
$46,504 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
70%
DPS
18%
Vazrazhdane
6%
GERB-SDS
3%
MECh
1%
BSP
1%
PB
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
ITN
<1%
PP–DB 70%
DPS 18%
Vazrazhdane 6.0%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$46,504 Vol.
$46,504 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
$13,616 Vol.
70%
DPS
$5,574 Vol.
18%
Vazrazhdane
$569 Vol.
6%
GERB-SDS
$1,449 Vol.
3%
MECh
$1,824 Vol.
1%
BSP
$18,069 Vol.
1%
PB
$920 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
APS
$1,401 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$1,790 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and Gallup (late March), consistently position Progressive Bulgaria—former President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment alliance—at around 30-34% for first place, GERB-SDS at 19-23% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% for third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This trader consensus, with PP-DB shares at 70¢ implying strong favoritism for third amid the eighth vote in five years, reflects voter fatigue with gridlock and Radev's surge consolidating fragmented opposition support. DPS trails at 9-10% (17.5¢ for third) due to steady ethnic minority backing but no recent gains, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist rise to 7-8% (7.5¢) adds competition; late shifts remain possible before polls close.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$46,504End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and Gallup (late March), consistently position Progressive Bulgaria—former President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment alliance—at around 30-34% for first place, GERB-SDS at 19-23% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% for third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This trader consensus, with PP-DB shares at 70¢ implying strong favoritism for third amid the eighth vote in five years, reflects voter fatigue with gridlock and Radev's surge consolidating fragmented opposition support. DPS trails at 9-10% (17.5¢ for third) due to steady ethnic minority backing but no recent gains, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist rise to 7-8% (7.5¢) adds competition; late shifts remain possible before polls close.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$46,504End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and Gallup (late March), consistently position Progressive Bulgaria—former President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment alliance—at around 30-34% for first place, GERB-SDS at 19-23% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% for third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This trader consensus, with PP-DB shares at 70¢ implying strong favoritism for third amid the eighth vote in five years, reflects voter fatigue with gridlock and Radev's surge consolidating fragmented opposition support. DPS trails at 9-10% (17.5¢ for third) due to steady ethnic minority backing but no recent gains, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist rise to 7-8% (7.5¢) adds competition; late shifts remain possible before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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