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Politics·Hungary Election

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?

Market icon
Politics·Hungary Election

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?

$315,586 Vol.

Apr 12, 2026
Polymarket

$315,586 Vol.

Polymarket

60+

$15,620 Vol.

79%

70+

$29,466 Vol.

55%

80+

$155,410 Vol.

39%

90+

$69,337 Vol.

31%

100+

$26,096 Vol.

29%

110+

$19,657 Vol.

13%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will decide if Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance secures a majority of the 199 seats in the National Assembly, requiring at least 100 under the mixed electoral system of single-member districts and proportional representation. Recent polls reflect a closely contested race, with opposition Tisza party leader Péter Magyar ahead in several surveys (e.g., 52% to Fidesz's 39% in an Atlas Intel poll), though others like McLaughlin & Associates show Fidesz leading narrowly by 5 points. Surging anti-Orbán sentiment stems from economic pressures, EU tensions, and Magyar's anticorruption platform, amplified by U.S. President Trump's endorsement of Orbán. High turnout could tip battleground districts, shaping coalition possibilities.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$315,586
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will decide if Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance secures a majority of the 199 seats in the National Assembly, requiring at least 100 under the mixed electoral system of single-member districts and proportional representation. Recent polls reflect a closely contested race, with opposition Tisza party leader Péter Magyar ahead in several surveys (e.g., 52% to Fidesz's 39% in an Atlas Intel poll), though others like McLaughlin & Associates show Fidesz leading narrowly by 5 points. Surging anti-Orbán sentiment stems from economic pressures, EU tensions, and Magyar's anticorruption platform, amplified by U.S. President Trump's endorsement of Orbán. High turnout could tip battleground districts, shaping coalition possibilities.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$315,586
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Related

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Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

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Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

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Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "60+" at 79%, followed by "70+" at 55%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?" has generated $315.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?" is "60+" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "70+" at 55%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.