Final polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election place Mi Hazánk third in national voting intention at 4-7%, behind leader Tisza (49-52%) and Fidesz-KDNP (39-45%), with polling averages from Publicus, AtlasIntel, and others confirming this order through fieldwork ending April 10. Trader consensus at 95.8% reflects Mi Hazánk's consolidation of far-right support amid fragmented legacy opposition—DK at 2-3%, MKKP at 2-3%, and MSZP, Momentum, LMP under 2%—positioning it as the sole minor party likely to clear the 5% list threshold for parliament. This commanding lead stems from week-long polling stability despite conflicting snapshots from pro-government firms. Realistic challenges include a late voter surge to MKKP or DK, turnout disparities, or polling errors underestimating smaller parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 95.6%
MKKP 1.9%
DK 1.6%
Fidesz-KDNP <1%
$125,029 Vol.
$125,029 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
96%
MKKP
2%
DK
2%
Fidesz-KDNP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Momentum
<1%
LMP
<1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Mi Hazánk 95.6%
MKKP 1.9%
DK 1.6%
Fidesz-KDNP <1%
$125,029 Vol.
$125,029 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
$92,217 Vol.
96%
MKKP
$6,038 Vol.
2%
DK
$5,599 Vol.
2%
Fidesz-KDNP
$3,116 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$2,828 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$1,945 Vol.
<1%
Momentum
$4,329 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$5,630 Vol.
<1%
TISZA
$1,594 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$1,733 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Final polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election place Mi Hazánk third in national voting intention at 4-7%, behind leader Tisza (49-52%) and Fidesz-KDNP (39-45%), with polling averages from Publicus, AtlasIntel, and others confirming this order through fieldwork ending April 10. Trader consensus at 95.8% reflects Mi Hazánk's consolidation of far-right support amid fragmented legacy opposition—DK at 2-3%, MKKP at 2-3%, and MSZP, Momentum, LMP under 2%—positioning it as the sole minor party likely to clear the 5% list threshold for parliament. This commanding lead stems from week-long polling stability despite conflicting snapshots from pro-government firms. Realistic challenges include a late voter surge to MKKP or DK, turnout disparities, or polling errors underestimating smaller parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volume
$125,029End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Final polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election place Mi Hazánk third in national voting intention at 4-7%, behind leader Tisza (49-52%) and Fidesz-KDNP (39-45%), with polling averages from Publicus, AtlasIntel, and others confirming this order through fieldwork ending April 10. Trader consensus at 95.8% reflects Mi Hazánk's consolidation of far-right support amid fragmented legacy opposition—DK at 2-3%, MKKP at 2-3%, and MSZP, Momentum, LMP under 2%—positioning it as the sole minor party likely to clear the 5% list threshold for parliament. This commanding lead stems from week-long polling stability despite conflicting snapshots from pro-government firms. Realistic challenges include a late voter surge to MKKP or DK, turnout disparities, or polling errors underestimating smaller parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Volume
$125,029End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Final polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election place Mi Hazánk third in national voting intention at 4-7%, behind leader Tisza (49-52%) and Fidesz-KDNP (39-45%), with polling averages from Publicus, AtlasIntel, and others confirming this order through fieldwork ending April 10. Trader consensus at 95.8% reflects Mi Hazánk's consolidation of far-right support amid fragmented legacy opposition—DK at 2-3%, MKKP at 2-3%, and MSZP, Momentum, LMP under 2%—positioning it as the sole minor party likely to clear the 5% list threshold for parliament. This commanding lead stems from week-long polling stability despite conflicting snapshots from pro-government firms. Realistic challenges include a late voter surge to MKKP or DK, turnout disparities, or polling errors underestimating smaller parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
75%
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
77%
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
85%
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