US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad on April 11 to lead Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks with Iranian negotiators, whose delegation landed the previous day, aiming to extend a two-week truce agreed April 7 amid the US-Iran war sparked by strikes on February 28. These high-stakes discussions follow US transmission of a 15-point peace plan, Iranian counter-proposals, and President Trump's prior deadline extensions, with Tehran occasionally denying direct engagement while insisting on sanctions relief and Hormuz access. Fragile diplomacy persists against ongoing airstrikes and oil disruptions, with outcomes potentially signaling de-escalation or renewed escalation before the truce expires April 22.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$5,920,809 Vol.
Apr 10, 2026
April 10
1%
April 11
94%
April 12
97%
April 13
97%
April 14
98%
April 15
99%
April 30
99%
May 31
99%
June 15
100%
June 30
99%
$5,920,809 Vol.
April 10
$3,060,433 Vol.
1%
April 11
$194,603 Vol.
94%
April 12
$30,302 Vol.
97%
April 13
$19,880 Vol.
97%
April 14
$9,886 Vol.
98%
April 15
$569,160 Vol.
99%
April 30
$860,927 Vol.
99%
May 31
$37,431 Vol.
99%
June 15
$26,541 Vol.
100%
June 30
$130,920 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad on April 11 to lead Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks with Iranian negotiators, whose delegation landed the previous day, aiming to extend a two-week truce agreed April 7 amid the US-Iran war sparked by strikes on February 28. These high-stakes discussions follow US transmission of a 15-point peace plan, Iranian counter-proposals, and President Trump's prior deadline extensions, with Tehran occasionally denying direct engagement while insisting on sanctions relief and Hormuz access. Fragile diplomacy persists against ongoing airstrikes and oil disruptions, with outcomes potentially signaling de-escalation or renewed escalation before the truce expires April 22.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Volume
$5,920,809End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Final review
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad on April 11 to lead Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks with Iranian negotiators, whose delegation landed the previous day, aiming to extend a two-week truce agreed April 7 amid the US-Iran war sparked by strikes on February 28. These high-stakes discussions follow US transmission of a 15-point peace plan, Iranian counter-proposals, and President Trump's prior deadline extensions, with Tehran occasionally denying direct engagement while insisting on sanctions relief and Hormuz access. Fragile diplomacy persists against ongoing airstrikes and oil disruptions, with outcomes potentially signaling de-escalation or renewed escalation before the truce expires April 22.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,920,809End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Final review
US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad on April 11 to lead Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks with Iranian negotiators, whose delegation landed the previous day, aiming to extend a two-week truce agreed April 7 amid the US-Iran war sparked by strikes on February 28. These high-stakes discussions follow US transmission of a 15-point peace plan, Iranian counter-proposals, and President Trump's prior deadline extensions, with Tehran occasionally denying direct engagement while insisting on sanctions relief and Hormuz access. Fragile diplomacy persists against ongoing airstrikes and oil disruptions, with outcomes potentially signaling de-escalation or renewed escalation before the truce expires April 22.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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