Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Beijing's highest temperature on April 13 at 21-23°C under partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds introducing cooler maritime air, yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18-20°C (19°C leading at 28%, 20°C at 21%, 18°C at 20%) due to model spread highlighting uncertainty in cloud cover during peak afternoon heating. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations show highs of 24-25°C through April 10-12 under high-pressure ridging and ample sunshine, but the anticipated partial overcast—potentially reducing insolation by 20-30%—tips sentiment toward moderated peaks. Historical April averages near 20°C provide context, with new 00z/12z model runs and CMA updates due within 24 hours likely to refine the razor-thin differentiation among top outcomes prior to resolution via Beijing Capital International Airport data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 13%
$12,120 Vol.
$12,120 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
20%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 13%
$12,120 Vol.
$12,120 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
13°C or below
$2,294 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,519 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,836 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,425 Vol.
2%
17°C
$679 Vol.
6%
18°C
$425 Vol.
20%
19°C
$334 Vol.
28%
20°C
$411 Vol.
20%
21°C
$374 Vol.
13%
22°C
$614 Vol.
5%
23°C or higher
$1,211 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Beijing's highest temperature on April 13 at 21-23°C under partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds introducing cooler maritime air, yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18-20°C (19°C leading at 28%, 20°C at 21%, 18°C at 20%) due to model spread highlighting uncertainty in cloud cover during peak afternoon heating. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations show highs of 24-25°C through April 10-12 under high-pressure ridging and ample sunshine, but the anticipated partial overcast—potentially reducing insolation by 20-30%—tips sentiment toward moderated peaks. Historical April averages near 20°C provide context, with new 00z/12z model runs and CMA updates due within 24 hours likely to refine the razor-thin differentiation among top outcomes prior to resolution via Beijing Capital International Airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$12,120End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Beijing's highest temperature on April 13 at 21-23°C under partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds introducing cooler maritime air, yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18-20°C (19°C leading at 28%, 20°C at 21%, 18°C at 20%) due to model spread highlighting uncertainty in cloud cover during peak afternoon heating. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations show highs of 24-25°C through April 10-12 under high-pressure ridging and ample sunshine, but the anticipated partial overcast—potentially reducing insolation by 20-30%—tips sentiment toward moderated peaks. Historical April averages near 20°C provide context, with new 00z/12z model runs and CMA updates due within 24 hours likely to refine the razor-thin differentiation among top outcomes prior to resolution via Beijing Capital International Airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,120End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Beijing's highest temperature on April 13 at 21-23°C under partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds introducing cooler maritime air, yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18-20°C (19°C leading at 28%, 20°C at 21%, 18°C at 20%) due to model spread highlighting uncertainty in cloud cover during peak afternoon heating. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations show highs of 24-25°C through April 10-12 under high-pressure ridging and ample sunshine, but the anticipated partial overcast—potentially reducing insolation by 20-30%—tips sentiment toward moderated peaks. Historical April averages near 20°C provide context, with new 00z/12z model runs and CMA updates due within 24 hours likely to refine the razor-thin differentiation among top outcomes prior to resolution via Beijing Capital International Airport data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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