Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 11 at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on daytime highs of 22–23°C under persistent thick cloud cover and light rain showers. Recent heavy rains from April 8–9, which broke local records with 138 mm in Wuhan, have cooled the region after a 27–28°C high on April 10, suppressing solar heating today—early observations at 06:00 local time showed 19°C with light rain. Historical April averages hover around 20–22°C, aligning with current conditions; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes to 23°C, though model guidance indicates low likelihood as CMA updates are expected by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$74,581 Vol.
$74,581 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$74,581 Vol.
$74,581 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
22°C
$12,191 Vol.
100%
23°C
$6,206 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,661 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,002 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,073 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,278 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,426 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,531 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 11 at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on daytime highs of 22–23°C under persistent thick cloud cover and light rain showers. Recent heavy rains from April 8–9, which broke local records with 138 mm in Wuhan, have cooled the region after a 27–28°C high on April 10, suppressing solar heating today—early observations at 06:00 local time showed 19°C with light rain. Historical April averages hover around 20–22°C, aligning with current conditions; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes to 23°C, though model guidance indicates low likelihood as CMA updates are expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$74,581End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 11 at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on daytime highs of 22–23°C under persistent thick cloud cover and light rain showers. Recent heavy rains from April 8–9, which broke local records with 138 mm in Wuhan, have cooled the region after a 27–28°C high on April 10, suppressing solar heating today—early observations at 06:00 local time showed 19°C with light rain. Historical April averages hover around 20–22°C, aligning with current conditions; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes to 23°C, though model guidance indicates low likelihood as CMA updates are expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,581End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 11 at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on daytime highs of 22–23°C under persistent thick cloud cover and light rain showers. Recent heavy rains from April 8–9, which broke local records with 138 mm in Wuhan, have cooled the region after a 27–28°C high on April 10, suppressing solar heating today—early observations at 06:00 local time showed 19°C with light rain. Historical April averages hover around 20–22°C, aligning with current conditions; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes to 23°C, though model guidance indicates low likelihood as CMA updates are expected by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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