Latest observational data from Chengdu's Shuangliu Airport weather station, the likely resolution source, show temperatures reaching 25–26°C this afternoon under scattered clouds, with feels-like values hitting 26°C as of 4 p.m. local time. This aligns with converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models projecting a daily high of 26°C, tempered by persistent overcast skies and light winds that have limited solar heating—similar to yesterday's 25°C peak. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment, pricing 26°C at 99.9%. A realistic challenge would require abrupt clearing and intense late-afternoon sun before sunset around 7:30 p.m., though model ensembles show low probability amid cooling trends. Official daily maximum reports expected soon after midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
26°C 99.9%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$180,875 Vol.
$180,875 Vol.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.9%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$180,875 Vol.
$180,875 Vol.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest observational data from Chengdu's Shuangliu Airport weather station, the likely resolution source, show temperatures reaching 25–26°C this afternoon under scattered clouds, with feels-like values hitting 26°C as of 4 p.m. local time. This aligns with converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models projecting a daily high of 26°C, tempered by persistent overcast skies and light winds that have limited solar heating—similar to yesterday's 25°C peak. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment, pricing 26°C at 99.9%. A realistic challenge would require abrupt clearing and intense late-afternoon sun before sunset around 7:30 p.m., though model ensembles show low probability amid cooling trends. Official daily maximum reports expected soon after midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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