Forecast models and observational data from sources like NiMet and international agencies show Lagos's peak temperature on April 11 clustering around 33°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly sea breezes at 10-15 mph moderating coastal heat. Current readings already nearing 33°C (92°F) with high humidity near 80% fueling heat index values over 40°C, yet urban heat island effects and variable afternoon cloud cover create tight uncertainty reflected in market-implied odds. Leading 33°C (37%) edges 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (27%) due to consensus short-range guidance, but thinner clouds or delayed maritime inflow could push higher, while isolated thunderstorms—per NiMet's early rainy season outlook—risk capping at 32°C. Official station data will resolve by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 11?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 11?
34°C 40%
35°C 39%
32°C 20%
36°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Apr 11, 2026
31°C
<1%
32°C
20%
33°C
37%
34°C
31%
35°C
21%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 40%
35°C 39%
32°C 20%
36°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Apr 11, 2026
31°C
$2,958 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$49 Vol.
20%
33°C
$10 Vol.
37%
34°C
$25 Vol.
31%
35°C
$180 Vol.
21%
36°C
$174 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$104 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models and observational data from sources like NiMet and international agencies show Lagos's peak temperature on April 11 clustering around 33°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly sea breezes at 10-15 mph moderating coastal heat. Current readings already nearing 33°C (92°F) with high humidity near 80% fueling heat index values over 40°C, yet urban heat island effects and variable afternoon cloud cover create tight uncertainty reflected in market-implied odds. Leading 33°C (37%) edges 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (27%) due to consensus short-range guidance, but thinner clouds or delayed maritime inflow could push higher, while isolated thunderstorms—per NiMet's early rainy season outlook—risk capping at 32°C. Official station data will resolve by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$7,121End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models and observational data from sources like NiMet and international agencies show Lagos's peak temperature on April 11 clustering around 33°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly sea breezes at 10-15 mph moderating coastal heat. Current readings already nearing 33°C (92°F) with high humidity near 80% fueling heat index values over 40°C, yet urban heat island effects and variable afternoon cloud cover create tight uncertainty reflected in market-implied odds. Leading 33°C (37%) edges 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (27%) due to consensus short-range guidance, but thinner clouds or delayed maritime inflow could push higher, while isolated thunderstorms—per NiMet's early rainy season outlook—risk capping at 32°C. Official station data will resolve by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,121End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data from sources like NiMet and international agencies show Lagos's peak temperature on April 11 clustering around 33°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly sea breezes at 10-15 mph moderating coastal heat. Current readings already nearing 33°C (92°F) with high humidity near 80% fueling heat index values over 40°C, yet urban heat island effects and variable afternoon cloud cover create tight uncertainty reflected in market-implied odds. Leading 33°C (37%) edges 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (27%) due to consensus short-range guidance, but thinner clouds or delayed maritime inflow could push higher, while isolated thunderstorms—per NiMet's early rainy season outlook—risk capping at 32°C. Official station data will resolve by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions