Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicate a high of 18°C at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution point—for April 12 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability on 18°C. This follows a warming trend from recent cool highs near 12–14°C on April 9–11 amid lingering cold air, as high-pressure ridging builds. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS exhibit significant spread clustering around 17–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly wind strength for warm advection, and low precipitation risk. Key variables tipping outcomes include afternoon clearing versus overcast persistence; final KMA hourly updates today could refine guidance before observations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 12?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 12?
18°C 32%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
20°C 12%
$114,420 Vol.
$114,420 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 32%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
20°C 12%
$114,420 Vol.
$114,420 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
14°C or below
$20,642 Vol.
2%
15°C
$13,181 Vol.
5%
16°C
$10,101 Vol.
9%
17°C
$6,180 Vol.
14%
18°C
$5,274 Vol.
32%
19°C
$7,173 Vol.
19%
20°C
$5,450 Vol.
12%
21°C
$10,558 Vol.
5%
22°C
$13,294 Vol.
5%
23°C
$9,672 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$13,100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicate a high of 18°C at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution point—for April 12 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability on 18°C. This follows a warming trend from recent cool highs near 12–14°C on April 9–11 amid lingering cold air, as high-pressure ridging builds. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS exhibit significant spread clustering around 17–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly wind strength for warm advection, and low precipitation risk. Key variables tipping outcomes include afternoon clearing versus overcast persistence; final KMA hourly updates today could refine guidance before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$114,420End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicate a high of 18°C at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution point—for April 12 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability on 18°C. This follows a warming trend from recent cool highs near 12–14°C on April 9–11 amid lingering cold air, as high-pressure ridging builds. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS exhibit significant spread clustering around 17–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly wind strength for warm advection, and low precipitation risk. Key variables tipping outcomes include afternoon clearing versus overcast persistence; final KMA hourly updates today could refine guidance before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$114,420End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicate a high of 18°C at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution point—for April 12 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability on 18°C. This follows a warming trend from recent cool highs near 12–14°C on April 9–11 amid lingering cold air, as high-pressure ridging builds. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS exhibit significant spread clustering around 17–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover limiting solar insolation, southerly wind strength for warm advection, and low precipitation risk. Key variables tipping outcomes include afternoon clearing versus overcast persistence; final KMA hourly updates today could refine guidance before observations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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