Recent National Center of Meteorology observations show Jeddah enduring hazy skies and highs near 31°C over the past 48 hours amid an unusual early-April cold wave and above-average rainfall across Saudi Arabia, suppressing temperatures below climatological norms of 34°C for mid-April coastal highs. This drives the tight market-implied odds, with 34°C or higher edging at 26.5% as ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS diverge on April 13 outcomes—ranging 29–34°C—due to varying sea breeze moderation from the Red Sea, potential lingering clouds, and an emerging upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming. Trader sentiment reflects this scientific uncertainty, with new model runs and NCM updates expected to sharpen consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 13?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 13?
30°C 23%
29°C 22%
28°C 21%
27°C 17%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
17%
28°C
21%
29°C
22%
30°C
23%
31°C
15%
32°C
12%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
9%
30°C 23%
29°C 22%
28°C 21%
27°C 17%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
17%
28°C
21%
29°C
22%
30°C
23%
31°C
15%
32°C
12%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Center of Meteorology observations show Jeddah enduring hazy skies and highs near 31°C over the past 48 hours amid an unusual early-April cold wave and above-average rainfall across Saudi Arabia, suppressing temperatures below climatological norms of 34°C for mid-April coastal highs. This drives the tight market-implied odds, with 34°C or higher edging at 26.5% as ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS diverge on April 13 outcomes—ranging 29–34°C—due to varying sea breeze moderation from the Red Sea, potential lingering clouds, and an emerging upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming. Trader sentiment reflects this scientific uncertainty, with new model runs and NCM updates expected to sharpen consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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