Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, with 34°C at 40%, 33°C at 31.5%, and 35°C at 25.5%, driven by NiMet's February 2026 seasonal outlook predicting nationwide temperatures above long-term averages amid the dry season's peak. Historical April highs average 32°C (90°F) per NOAA climatology, but recent days like April 8 saw maxima near 33°C under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds, per local bulletins. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying city readings, variable sea breeze timing moderating coastal humidity, and low cloud cover boosting solar insolation; forecast models like ECMWF show slight divergence around 33-35°C. NiMet's next daily bulletin and airport observations will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 12?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 12?
34°C 34%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
32°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
14%
33°C
28%
34°C
34%
35°C
26%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
32°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 12, 2026
27°C or below
$1,286 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$510 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$486 Vol.
1%
30°C
$459 Vol.
3%
31°C
$434 Vol.
3%
32°C
$33 Vol.
14%
33°C
$23 Vol.
28%
34°C
$17 Vol.
34%
35°C
$12 Vol.
26%
36°C
$53 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$487 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, with 34°C at 40%, 33°C at 31.5%, and 35°C at 25.5%, driven by NiMet's February 2026 seasonal outlook predicting nationwide temperatures above long-term averages amid the dry season's peak. Historical April highs average 32°C (90°F) per NOAA climatology, but recent days like April 8 saw maxima near 33°C under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds, per local bulletins. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying city readings, variable sea breeze timing moderating coastal humidity, and low cloud cover boosting solar insolation; forecast models like ECMWF show slight divergence around 33-35°C. NiMet's next daily bulletin and airport observations will refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,800End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, with 34°C at 40%, 33°C at 31.5%, and 35°C at 25.5%, driven by NiMet's February 2026 seasonal outlook predicting nationwide temperatures above long-term averages amid the dry season's peak. Historical April highs average 32°C (90°F) per NOAA climatology, but recent days like April 8 saw maxima near 33°C under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds, per local bulletins. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying city readings, variable sea breeze timing moderating coastal humidity, and low cloud cover boosting solar insolation; forecast models like ECMWF show slight divergence around 33-35°C. NiMet's next daily bulletin and airport observations will refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,800End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, with 34°C at 40%, 33°C at 31.5%, and 35°C at 25.5%, driven by NiMet's February 2026 seasonal outlook predicting nationwide temperatures above long-term averages amid the dry season's peak. Historical April highs average 32°C (90°F) per NOAA climatology, but recent days like April 8 saw maxima near 33°C under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds, per local bulletins. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying city readings, variable sea breeze timing moderating coastal humidity, and low cloud cover boosting solar insolation; forecast models like ECMWF show slight divergence around 33-35°C. NiMet's next daily bulletin and airport observations will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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