Météo-France's latest forecast models, updated midday, project a maximum temperature of 15°C in Paris today amid a passing frontal system bringing persistent cloud cover, frequent light rain, and gusty west winds up to 55 km/h, severely limiting solar heating. Current observations align, with afternoon readings hovering around 13–15°C under overcast skies, consistent with ensemble consensus from ECMWF and other agencies showing no significant warming. This trader consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of these meteorological conditions against April climatological norms of 15–17°C highs. Realistic challenges would require unexpected prolonged clearing post-front, enabling brief solar insolation spikes, though low-probability given ongoing precipitation forecasts; official station data will finalize resolution by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
18°C or below 99.4%
21°C <1%
24°C <1%
19°C <1%
$171,271 Vol.
$171,271 Vol.
18°C or below
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 99.4%
21°C <1%
24°C <1%
19°C <1%
$171,271 Vol.
$171,271 Vol.
18°C or below
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest forecast models, updated midday, project a maximum temperature of 15°C in Paris today amid a passing frontal system bringing persistent cloud cover, frequent light rain, and gusty west winds up to 55 km/h, severely limiting solar heating. Current observations align, with afternoon readings hovering around 13–15°C under overcast skies, consistent with ensemble consensus from ECMWF and other agencies showing no significant warming. This trader consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of these meteorological conditions against April climatological norms of 15–17°C highs. Realistic challenges would require unexpected prolonged clearing post-front, enabling brief solar insolation spikes, though low-probability given ongoing precipitation forecasts; official station data will finalize resolution by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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