Environment Canada's forecast issued early April 11 for Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's resolution source—projects a high of 8°C on April 12 amid mainly cloudy skies with periods of rain from morning through late afternoon, accompanied by easterly winds gusting to 40 km/h that curb solar insolation and warm air advection. This aligns with trader consensus, where 7–9°C outcomes cluster at 20–22% implied probabilities, reflecting model agreement on a passing frontal system suppressing temperatures below the April climatological average of 12°C. Divergences arise from uncertainty in rain timing and cloud persistence: earlier clearing could boost peaks to 9–10°C via increased shortwave radiation, while prolonged overcast conditions, as hinted in The Weather Network's cooler 6°C outlook, favor 7°C or lower. Final hourly observations will resolve amid typical spring forecast spreads.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on April 12?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 12?
7°C 23.2%
8°C 23.0%
9°C 20.3%
11°C 12.0%
$40,104 Vol.
$40,104 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
5°C or below
4%
6°C
8%
7°C
23%
8°C
23%
9°C
20%
10°C
12%
11°C
12%
12°C
4%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
7°C 23.2%
8°C 23.0%
9°C 20.3%
11°C 12.0%
$40,104 Vol.
$40,104 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
5°C or below
$7,071 Vol.
4%
6°C
$4,317 Vol.
8%
7°C
$2,847 Vol.
23%
8°C
$1,839 Vol.
23%
9°C
$2,326 Vol.
20%
10°C
$1,658 Vol.
12%
11°C
$3,161 Vol.
12%
12°C
$3,784 Vol.
4%
13°C
$3,781 Vol.
1%
14°C
$2,664 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$6,748 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's forecast issued early April 11 for Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's resolution source—projects a high of 8°C on April 12 amid mainly cloudy skies with periods of rain from morning through late afternoon, accompanied by easterly winds gusting to 40 km/h that curb solar insolation and warm air advection. This aligns with trader consensus, where 7–9°C outcomes cluster at 20–22% implied probabilities, reflecting model agreement on a passing frontal system suppressing temperatures below the April climatological average of 12°C. Divergences arise from uncertainty in rain timing and cloud persistence: earlier clearing could boost peaks to 9–10°C via increased shortwave radiation, while prolonged overcast conditions, as hinted in The Weather Network's cooler 6°C outlook, favor 7°C or lower. Final hourly observations will resolve amid typical spring forecast spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$40,104End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's forecast issued early April 11 for Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's resolution source—projects a high of 8°C on April 12 amid mainly cloudy skies with periods of rain from morning through late afternoon, accompanied by easterly winds gusting to 40 km/h that curb solar insolation and warm air advection. This aligns with trader consensus, where 7–9°C outcomes cluster at 20–22% implied probabilities, reflecting model agreement on a passing frontal system suppressing temperatures below the April climatological average of 12°C. Divergences arise from uncertainty in rain timing and cloud persistence: earlier clearing could boost peaks to 9–10°C via increased shortwave radiation, while prolonged overcast conditions, as hinted in The Weather Network's cooler 6°C outlook, favor 7°C or lower. Final hourly observations will resolve amid typical spring forecast spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,104End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's forecast issued early April 11 for Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's resolution source—projects a high of 8°C on April 12 amid mainly cloudy skies with periods of rain from morning through late afternoon, accompanied by easterly winds gusting to 40 km/h that curb solar insolation and warm air advection. This aligns with trader consensus, where 7–9°C outcomes cluster at 20–22% implied probabilities, reflecting model agreement on a passing frontal system suppressing temperatures below the April climatological average of 12°C. Divergences arise from uncertainty in rain timing and cloud persistence: earlier clearing could boost peaks to 9–10°C via increased shortwave radiation, while prolonged overcast conditions, as hinted in The Weather Network's cooler 6°C outlook, favor 7°C or lower. Final hourly observations will resolve amid typical spring forecast spreads.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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