The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei highs of 23–31°C on April 12 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with high UV index, anchoring trader sentiment with 31°C leading at 35.5% implied probability ahead of 32°C at 29.5%. This tight race reflects ensemble model consensus—such as GFS and ECMWF runs showing peaks near 30–32°C—fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge enabling strong daytime solar heating, southerly winds advecting warm, humid air, and urban heat island effects in Taipei amplifying temperatures above the April historical average of 27°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze moderation versus prolonged insolation; recent hot spell through April 11 (with April 10 nearing 33°C) sustains optimism for the upper range. Hourly CWA observations will resolve the market, with updates possible today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
31°C 37%
32°C 30%
30°C 18%
29°C 14%
$43,779 Vol.
$43,779 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
14%
30°C
18%
31°C
37%
32°C
30%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 30%
30°C 18%
29°C 14%
$43,779 Vol.
$43,779 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
25°C or below
$5,351 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,755 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,030 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,043 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,461 Vol.
14%
30°C
$1,423 Vol.
18%
31°C
$2,362 Vol.
37%
32°C
$2,284 Vol.
30%
33°C
$3,932 Vol.
9%
34°C
$3,650 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$11,594 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei highs of 23–31°C on April 12 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with high UV index, anchoring trader sentiment with 31°C leading at 35.5% implied probability ahead of 32°C at 29.5%. This tight race reflects ensemble model consensus—such as GFS and ECMWF runs showing peaks near 30–32°C—fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge enabling strong daytime solar heating, southerly winds advecting warm, humid air, and urban heat island effects in Taipei amplifying temperatures above the April historical average of 27°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze moderation versus prolonged insolation; recent hot spell through April 11 (with April 10 nearing 33°C) sustains optimism for the upper range. Hourly CWA observations will resolve the market, with updates possible today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$43,779End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei highs of 23–31°C on April 12 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with high UV index, anchoring trader sentiment with 31°C leading at 35.5% implied probability ahead of 32°C at 29.5%. This tight race reflects ensemble model consensus—such as GFS and ECMWF runs showing peaks near 30–32°C—fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge enabling strong daytime solar heating, southerly winds advecting warm, humid air, and urban heat island effects in Taipei amplifying temperatures above the April historical average of 27°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze moderation versus prolonged insolation; recent hot spell through April 11 (with April 10 nearing 33°C) sustains optimism for the upper range. Hourly CWA observations will resolve the market, with updates possible today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,779End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei highs of 23–31°C on April 12 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with high UV index, anchoring trader sentiment with 31°C leading at 35.5% implied probability ahead of 32°C at 29.5%. This tight race reflects ensemble model consensus—such as GFS and ECMWF runs showing peaks near 30–32°C—fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge enabling strong daytime solar heating, southerly winds advecting warm, humid air, and urban heat island effects in Taipei amplifying temperatures above the April historical average of 27°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze moderation versus prolonged insolation; recent hot spell through April 11 (with April 10 nearing 33°C) sustains optimism for the upper range. Hourly CWA observations will resolve the market, with updates possible today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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