National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 12 indicate highs clustering in the 78-81°F range under mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent east-northeast winds of 10-15 mph from high pressure over the Southeast, which advects cooler Atlantic air and suppresses temperatures below the April normal of 83°F. This onshore flow, continuing from a weak front's passage earlier this week, has kept recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, with model consensus from NOAA guidance showing minimal spread but sensitivity to sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. Trader sentiment splits evenly between 78-79°F and 80-81°F outcomes at 40.5% implied probabilities each, highlighting uncertainty in peak heating; watch for morning soundings and updated 12Z model runs for potential shifts ahead of resolution based on Miami International Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 12?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 12?
80-81°F 44%
78-79°F 41%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 7.1%
$26,284 Vol.
$26,284 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 44%
78-79°F 41%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 7.1%
$26,284 Vol.
$26,284 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
71°F or below
$2,379 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,198 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,982 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$3,592 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$1,602 Vol.
41%
80-81°F
$2,803 Vol.
44%
82-83°F
$2,039 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$2,074 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$2,262 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$2,128 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$3,254 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 12 indicate highs clustering in the 78-81°F range under mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent east-northeast winds of 10-15 mph from high pressure over the Southeast, which advects cooler Atlantic air and suppresses temperatures below the April normal of 83°F. This onshore flow, continuing from a weak front's passage earlier this week, has kept recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, with model consensus from NOAA guidance showing minimal spread but sensitivity to sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. Trader sentiment splits evenly between 78-79°F and 80-81°F outcomes at 40.5% implied probabilities each, highlighting uncertainty in peak heating; watch for morning soundings and updated 12Z model runs for potential shifts ahead of resolution based on Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$26,284End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 12 indicate highs clustering in the 78-81°F range under mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent east-northeast winds of 10-15 mph from high pressure over the Southeast, which advects cooler Atlantic air and suppresses temperatures below the April normal of 83°F. This onshore flow, continuing from a weak front's passage earlier this week, has kept recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, with model consensus from NOAA guidance showing minimal spread but sensitivity to sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. Trader sentiment splits evenly between 78-79°F and 80-81°F outcomes at 40.5% implied probabilities each, highlighting uncertainty in peak heating; watch for morning soundings and updated 12Z model runs for potential shifts ahead of resolution based on Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,284End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 12 indicate highs clustering in the 78-81°F range under mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent east-northeast winds of 10-15 mph from high pressure over the Southeast, which advects cooler Atlantic air and suppresses temperatures below the April normal of 83°F. This onshore flow, continuing from a weak front's passage earlier this week, has kept recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, with model consensus from NOAA guidance showing minimal spread but sensitivity to sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. Trader sentiment splits evenly between 78-79°F and 80-81°F outcomes at 40.5% implied probabilities each, highlighting uncertainty in peak heating; watch for morning soundings and updated 12Z model runs for potential shifts ahead of resolution based on Miami International Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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