The India Meteorological Department (IMD) latest forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of 36°C on April 12 under clear skies with strong daytime winds (25-35 km/h), driving trader consensus with 36°C at 46% implied probability, edging out 37°C at 36%. This reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell—April 10 recorded just 32.1°C, 5.1°C below normal—amid seasonal pre-monsoon heating and climatological mid-April highs averaging 36-37°C. Strong winds may cap peaks by mixing cooler air aloft, while clear conditions favor solar-driven warming. Private models like AccuWeather align near 35.5°C, but uncertainty persists in peak-hour measurements at Lucknow Airport; resolution hinges on official IMD observation by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
36°C 43%
37°C 39%
35°C 13%
38°C 6.0%
$13,987 Vol.
$13,987 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
13%
36°C
43%
37°C
39%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 39%
35°C 13%
38°C 6.0%
$13,987 Vol.
$13,987 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
13%
36°C
43%
37°C
39%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department (IMD) latest forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of 36°C on April 12 under clear skies with strong daytime winds (25-35 km/h), driving trader consensus with 36°C at 46% implied probability, edging out 37°C at 36%. This reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell—April 10 recorded just 32.1°C, 5.1°C below normal—amid seasonal pre-monsoon heating and climatological mid-April highs averaging 36-37°C. Strong winds may cap peaks by mixing cooler air aloft, while clear conditions favor solar-driven warming. Private models like AccuWeather align near 35.5°C, but uncertainty persists in peak-hour measurements at Lucknow Airport; resolution hinges on official IMD observation by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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