Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 34°C high in Jakarta on April 12 (49.5% implied probability), followed closely by 33°C (34.5%), reflecting BMKG's latest forecasts of partly cloudy skies with isolated heavy showers across Jabodetabek, potentially allowing midday peaks amid urban heat island amplification. Recent days logged observed highs of 30–32°C under persistent patchy rain during the rainy-to-dry season transition, aligning with April climatology (historical average ~32°C). BMKG warnings issued yesterday for moderate-to-heavy rain on April 11–12 introduce uncertainty, capping intensity but not ruling out brief sunny intervals; overnight hourly updates from official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma will likely sharpen model consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
34°C 48%
33°C 37%
32°C 12%
31°C 6.6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
48%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
33°C 37%
32°C 12%
31°C 6.6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
48%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 34°C high in Jakarta on April 12 (49.5% implied probability), followed closely by 33°C (34.5%), reflecting BMKG's latest forecasts of partly cloudy skies with isolated heavy showers across Jabodetabek, potentially allowing midday peaks amid urban heat island amplification. Recent days logged observed highs of 30–32°C under persistent patchy rain during the rainy-to-dry season transition, aligning with April climatology (historical average ~32°C). BMKG warnings issued yesterday for moderate-to-heavy rain on April 11–12 introduce uncertainty, capping intensity but not ruling out brief sunny intervals; overnight hourly updates from official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma will likely sharpen model consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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