The National Weather Service forecast for Dallas Love Field on April 12 projects a high temperature of 82°F under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds at 5-15 mph and a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for 74°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures in North Texas, where April's climatological average high is 76°F, supported by consistent model guidance showing a warming trend amid a ridge aloft. Recent observations today at 68°F with increasing clouds reflect steady setup, though isolated storms could slightly cap peaks if they form early. Final hourly data from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 12?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 12?
74°F or higher 88%
72-73°F 8.9%
70-71°F 1.3%
68-69°F <1%
$16,364 Vol.
$16,364 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74°F or higher
88%
74°F or higher 88%
72-73°F 8.9%
70-71°F 1.3%
68-69°F <1%
$16,364 Vol.
$16,364 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74°F or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service forecast for Dallas Love Field on April 12 projects a high temperature of 82°F under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds at 5-15 mph and a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for 74°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures in North Texas, where April's climatological average high is 76°F, supported by consistent model guidance showing a warming trend amid a ridge aloft. Recent observations today at 68°F with increasing clouds reflect steady setup, though isolated storms could slightly cap peaks if they form early. Final hourly data from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions