Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 22–24°C for Chongqing's April 12 high temperature, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds following light rain on April 11. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance indicates cloudy conditions with a modeled high near 25°C, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable solar insolation and potential for thicker overcast layers suppressing daytime heating. April climatology in Chongqing typically sees highs rising from 21°C early-month to 26°C later, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C; differentiation hinges on cloud evolution and peak afternoon temperatures. Updated model runs expected this afternoon could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
23°C 34%
24°C 25%
22°C 22%
21°C 9%
$13,417 Vol.
$13,417 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
22%
23°C
34%
24°C
25%
25°C
9%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 25%
22°C 22%
21°C 9%
$13,417 Vol.
$13,417 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
18°C or below
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,992 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,010 Vol.
2%
21°C
$691 Vol.
9%
22°C
$322 Vol.
22%
23°C
$361 Vol.
34%
24°C
$371 Vol.
25%
25°C
$1,273 Vol.
9%
26°C
$1,362 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,257 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$1,494 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 22–24°C for Chongqing's April 12 high temperature, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds following light rain on April 11. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance indicates cloudy conditions with a modeled high near 25°C, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable solar insolation and potential for thicker overcast layers suppressing daytime heating. April climatology in Chongqing typically sees highs rising from 21°C early-month to 26°C later, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C; differentiation hinges on cloud evolution and peak afternoon temperatures. Updated model runs expected this afternoon could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$13,417End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 22–24°C for Chongqing's April 12 high temperature, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds following light rain on April 11. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance indicates cloudy conditions with a modeled high near 25°C, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable solar insolation and potential for thicker overcast layers suppressing daytime heating. April climatology in Chongqing typically sees highs rising from 21°C early-month to 26°C later, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C; differentiation hinges on cloud evolution and peak afternoon temperatures. Updated model runs expected this afternoon could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,417End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 22–24°C for Chongqing's April 12 high temperature, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds following light rain on April 11. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance indicates cloudy conditions with a modeled high near 25°C, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable solar insolation and potential for thicker overcast layers suppressing daytime heating. April climatology in Chongqing typically sees highs rising from 21°C early-month to 26°C later, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C; differentiation hinges on cloud evolution and peak afternoon temperatures. Updated model runs expected this afternoon could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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