Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Gimhae International Airport, the market's resolution station, project a maximum temperature of 20°C on April 12 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation risk, rebounding from an untimely cold snap earlier this week that suppressed highs below seasonal norms. Trader consensus clusters around 19°C (40.5%) and 20°C (31.5%) implied probabilities, reflecting model ensemble spread where coastal sea breezes and intermittent clouds may moderate peak heating to 19°C, while prolonged solar insolation amid high-pressure ridging could reach 20°C. April climatology averages 17–18°C highs in Busan; final hourly observations from the station will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 12?
19°C 39%
20°C 31%
21°C 14%
18°C 11%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
11%
19°C
39%
20°C
31%
21°C
14%
22°C
7%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
19°C 39%
20°C 31%
21°C 14%
18°C 11%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
11%
19°C
39%
20°C
31%
21°C
14%
22°C
7%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Gimhae International Airport, the market's resolution station, project a maximum temperature of 20°C on April 12 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation risk, rebounding from an untimely cold snap earlier this week that suppressed highs below seasonal norms. Trader consensus clusters around 19°C (40.5%) and 20°C (31.5%) implied probabilities, reflecting model ensemble spread where coastal sea breezes and intermittent clouds may moderate peak heating to 19°C, while prolonged solar insolation amid high-pressure ridging could reach 20°C. April climatology averages 17–18°C highs in Busan; final hourly observations from the station will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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