Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (35.5%) or 25°C (30.5%) in Buenos Aires on April 12, reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF, which project maxima in this narrow range amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern. This positioning stems from a persistent subtropical ridge over southern South America, trapping mild air masses following early April's record high minimums near 24°C that signal ongoing warm advection with limited cold frontal intrusions. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—partly cloudy skies could cap peaks at 24°C via reduced insolation, while clearer conditions and light southerly winds might push to 25°C during afternoon peak heating around 3-4 PM local time. Historical April 12 averages hover near 22°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth, though urban heat island effects at the official Aeroparque station add ~1°C. Final observational data from SMN will resolve tomorrow, with model updates potentially shifting implied probabilities before then.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
25°C 33%
24°C 33%
26°C 17%
23°C 14%
$13,807 Vol.
$13,807 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
33%
25°C
33%
26°C
17%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 33%
24°C 33%
26°C 17%
23°C 14%
$13,807 Vol.
$13,807 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
19°C or below
$1,924 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,147 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,258 Vol.
5%
23°C
$1,031 Vol.
14%
24°C
$826 Vol.
33%
25°C
$808 Vol.
33%
26°C
$1,245 Vol.
17%
27°C
$1,608 Vol.
4%
28°C
$1,071 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$1,016 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (35.5%) or 25°C (30.5%) in Buenos Aires on April 12, reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF, which project maxima in this narrow range amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern. This positioning stems from a persistent subtropical ridge over southern South America, trapping mild air masses following early April's record high minimums near 24°C that signal ongoing warm advection with limited cold frontal intrusions. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—partly cloudy skies could cap peaks at 24°C via reduced insolation, while clearer conditions and light southerly winds might push to 25°C during afternoon peak heating around 3-4 PM local time. Historical April 12 averages hover near 22°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth, though urban heat island effects at the official Aeroparque station add ~1°C. Final observational data from SMN will resolve tomorrow, with model updates potentially shifting implied probabilities before then.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$13,807End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (35.5%) or 25°C (30.5%) in Buenos Aires on April 12, reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF, which project maxima in this narrow range amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern. This positioning stems from a persistent subtropical ridge over southern South America, trapping mild air masses following early April's record high minimums near 24°C that signal ongoing warm advection with limited cold frontal intrusions. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—partly cloudy skies could cap peaks at 24°C via reduced insolation, while clearer conditions and light southerly winds might push to 25°C during afternoon peak heating around 3-4 PM local time. Historical April 12 averages hover near 22°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth, though urban heat island effects at the official Aeroparque station add ~1°C. Final observational data from SMN will resolve tomorrow, with model updates potentially shifting implied probabilities before then.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,807End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (35.5%) or 25°C (30.5%) in Buenos Aires on April 12, reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF, which project maxima in this narrow range amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern. This positioning stems from a persistent subtropical ridge over southern South America, trapping mild air masses following early April's record high minimums near 24°C that signal ongoing warm advection with limited cold frontal intrusions. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—partly cloudy skies could cap peaks at 24°C via reduced insolation, while clearer conditions and light southerly winds might push to 25°C during afternoon peak heating around 3-4 PM local time. Historical April 12 averages hover near 22°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth, though urban heat island effects at the official Aeroparque station add ~1°C. Final observational data from SMN will resolve tomorrow, with model updates potentially shifting implied probabilities before then.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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