Trader consensus on Seattle's April precipitation at the Sea-Tac Airport (CLISEA station) reflects a dry start, with just 0.69 inches recorded through April 10—below the climatological normal of about 1.1 inches for the first third of the month—tempered by uncertain forecasts for the remaining three weeks. NOAA's spring outlook from late March signals a 40-50% chance of below-normal totals across western Washington, influenced by persistent upper-level ridging and neutral ENSO conditions limiting Pacific storm tracks. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show subdued frontal activity ahead, aligning with April's historical decline in wet days from 45% to 33%, yet late-month surges remain possible, keeping 3-3.5 inches (31.5%) narrowly ahead of 2.5-3 inches (29.5%). Watch NWS updates and new CPC guidance for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Seattle in April?
Precipitation in Seattle in April?
3-3.5" 30%
2.5-3" 30%
<2.5" 22%
3.5-4" 10.4%
$26,058 Vol.
$26,058 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<2.5"
22%
2.5-3"
30%
3-3.5"
30%
3.5-4"
10%
4-4.5"
9%
4.5-5"
6%
>5"
7%
3-3.5" 30%
2.5-3" 30%
<2.5" 22%
3.5-4" 10.4%
$26,058 Vol.
$26,058 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<2.5"
$8,710 Vol.
22%
2.5-3"
$7,479 Vol.
30%
3-3.5"
$8,456 Vol.
30%
3.5-4"
$236 Vol.
10%
4-4.5"
$484 Vol.
9%
4.5-5"
$419 Vol.
6%
>5"
$275 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Seattle's April precipitation at the Sea-Tac Airport (CLISEA station) reflects a dry start, with just 0.69 inches recorded through April 10—below the climatological normal of about 1.1 inches for the first third of the month—tempered by uncertain forecasts for the remaining three weeks. NOAA's spring outlook from late March signals a 40-50% chance of below-normal totals across western Washington, influenced by persistent upper-level ridging and neutral ENSO conditions limiting Pacific storm tracks. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show subdued frontal activity ahead, aligning with April's historical decline in wet days from 45% to 33%, yet late-month surges remain possible, keeping 3-3.5 inches (31.5%) narrowly ahead of 2.5-3 inches (29.5%). Watch NWS updates and new CPC guidance for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$26,058End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Seattle's April precipitation at the Sea-Tac Airport (CLISEA station) reflects a dry start, with just 0.69 inches recorded through April 10—below the climatological normal of about 1.1 inches for the first third of the month—tempered by uncertain forecasts for the remaining three weeks. NOAA's spring outlook from late March signals a 40-50% chance of below-normal totals across western Washington, influenced by persistent upper-level ridging and neutral ENSO conditions limiting Pacific storm tracks. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show subdued frontal activity ahead, aligning with April's historical decline in wet days from 45% to 33%, yet late-month surges remain possible, keeping 3-3.5 inches (31.5%) narrowly ahead of 2.5-3 inches (29.5%). Watch NWS updates and new CPC guidance for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,058End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Seattle's April precipitation at the Sea-Tac Airport (CLISEA station) reflects a dry start, with just 0.69 inches recorded through April 10—below the climatological normal of about 1.1 inches for the first third of the month—tempered by uncertain forecasts for the remaining three weeks. NOAA's spring outlook from late March signals a 40-50% chance of below-normal totals across western Washington, influenced by persistent upper-level ridging and neutral ENSO conditions limiting Pacific storm tracks. Model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show subdued frontal activity ahead, aligning with April's historical decline in wet days from 45% to 33%, yet late-month surges remain possible, keeping 3-3.5 inches (31.5%) narrowly ahead of 2.5-3 inches (29.5%). Watch NWS updates and new CPC guidance for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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