Trader consensus prices 71–77% turnout outcomes highest at 36% and 33%, mirroring historical parliamentary election levels around 70% in 2018 and 2022, amid a fiercely competitive race between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and Péter Magyar's Tisza party that has spurred mobilization across voting blocs. Recent conflicting polls from Medián, 21 Kutatóközpont, and Nézőpont—showing Tisza leads up to 53% in some versus Fidesz edges in others—signal high stakes, with youth enthusiasm boosting opposition hopes and Fidesz relying on rural and diaspora postal ballots counted post-election day. A latest independent survey forecasts record turnout, but undecided voters and abstainer turnout models keep probabilities clustered; early voting data or weather on April 12 could tip toward 77–80% or below 71%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated71–74% 36%
74–77% 33%
77–80% 17%
68–71% 7.5%
$183,602 Vol.
$183,602 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<65%
1%
65–68%
2%
68–71%
8%
71–74%
36%
74–77%
33%
77–80%
17%
80%+
7%
71–74% 36%
74–77% 33%
77–80% 17%
68–71% 7.5%
$183,602 Vol.
$183,602 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<65%
$11,181 Vol.
1%
65–68%
$12,706 Vol.
2%
68–71%
$70,607 Vol.
8%
71–74%
$22,931 Vol.
36%
74–77%
$16,208 Vol.
33%
77–80%
$23,378 Vol.
17%
80%+
$26,591 Vol.
7%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices 71–77% turnout outcomes highest at 36% and 33%, mirroring historical parliamentary election levels around 70% in 2018 and 2022, amid a fiercely competitive race between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and Péter Magyar's Tisza party that has spurred mobilization across voting blocs. Recent conflicting polls from Medián, 21 Kutatóközpont, and Nézőpont—showing Tisza leads up to 53% in some versus Fidesz edges in others—signal high stakes, with youth enthusiasm boosting opposition hopes and Fidesz relying on rural and diaspora postal ballots counted post-election day. A latest independent survey forecasts record turnout, but undecided voters and abstainer turnout models keep probabilities clustered; early voting data or weather on April 12 could tip toward 77–80% or below 71%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$183,602End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices 71–77% turnout outcomes highest at 36% and 33%, mirroring historical parliamentary election levels around 70% in 2018 and 2022, amid a fiercely competitive race between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and Péter Magyar's Tisza party that has spurred mobilization across voting blocs. Recent conflicting polls from Medián, 21 Kutatóközpont, and Nézőpont—showing Tisza leads up to 53% in some versus Fidesz edges in others—signal high stakes, with youth enthusiasm boosting opposition hopes and Fidesz relying on rural and diaspora postal ballots counted post-election day. A latest independent survey forecasts record turnout, but undecided voters and abstainer turnout models keep probabilities clustered; early voting data or weather on April 12 could tip toward 77–80% or below 71%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$183,602End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 71–77% turnout outcomes highest at 36% and 33%, mirroring historical parliamentary election levels around 70% in 2018 and 2022, amid a fiercely competitive race between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and Péter Magyar's Tisza party that has spurred mobilization across voting blocs. Recent conflicting polls from Medián, 21 Kutatóközpont, and Nézőpont—showing Tisza leads up to 53% in some versus Fidesz edges in others—signal high stakes, with youth enthusiasm boosting opposition hopes and Fidesz relying on rural and diaspora postal ballots counted post-election day. A latest independent survey forecasts record turnout, but undecided voters and abstainer turnout models keep probabilities clustered; early voting data or weather on April 12 could tip toward 77–80% or below 71%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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