Romuald Wadagni, Benin's finance minister and anointed successor to outgoing President Patrice Talon, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.1% implied probability ahead of the April 12 presidential election, driven by his ruling Union Progressiste et Républicaine (UPR) coalition's dominance following January parliamentary victories, exclusion of major opposition like Les Démocrates under strict electoral rules, and massive final rallies drawing thousands in Cotonou and Porto-Novo this week. Challenger Paul Hounkpè trails at 0.9% amid low-visibility campaigning, as jihadist threats from the north and a recent coup attempt underscore continuity preferences. Upsets remain possible via fraud disputes, low turnout below 50%, or northern security disruptions, though institutional control favors Wadagni's path to victory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext President of Benin
Next President of Benin
$17,418 Vol.
$17,418 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Romuald Wadagni
99%
Paul Hounkpè
1%
$17,418 Vol.
$17,418 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Romuald Wadagni
$10,652 Vol.
99%
Paul Hounkpè
$6,765 Vol.
1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romuald Wadagni, Benin's finance minister and anointed successor to outgoing President Patrice Talon, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.1% implied probability ahead of the April 12 presidential election, driven by his ruling Union Progressiste et Républicaine (UPR) coalition's dominance following January parliamentary victories, exclusion of major opposition like Les Démocrates under strict electoral rules, and massive final rallies drawing thousands in Cotonou and Porto-Novo this week. Challenger Paul Hounkpè trails at 0.9% amid low-visibility campaigning, as jihadist threats from the north and a recent coup attempt underscore continuity preferences. Upsets remain possible via fraud disputes, low turnout below 50%, or northern security disruptions, though institutional control favors Wadagni's path to victory.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Volume
$17,418End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romuald Wadagni, Benin's finance minister and anointed successor to outgoing President Patrice Talon, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.1% implied probability ahead of the April 12 presidential election, driven by his ruling Union Progressiste et Républicaine (UPR) coalition's dominance following January parliamentary victories, exclusion of major opposition like Les Démocrates under strict electoral rules, and massive final rallies drawing thousands in Cotonou and Porto-Novo this week. Challenger Paul Hounkpè trails at 0.9% amid low-visibility campaigning, as jihadist threats from the north and a recent coup attempt underscore continuity preferences. Upsets remain possible via fraud disputes, low turnout below 50%, or northern security disruptions, though institutional control favors Wadagni's path to victory.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,418End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Romuald Wadagni, Benin's finance minister and anointed successor to outgoing President Patrice Talon, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.1% implied probability ahead of the April 12 presidential election, driven by his ruling Union Progressiste et Républicaine (UPR) coalition's dominance following January parliamentary victories, exclusion of major opposition like Les Démocrates under strict electoral rules, and massive final rallies drawing thousands in Cotonou and Porto-Novo this week. Challenger Paul Hounkpè trails at 0.9% amid low-visibility campaigning, as jihadist threats from the north and a recent coup attempt underscore continuity preferences. Upsets remain possible via fraud disputes, low turnout below 50%, or northern security disruptions, though institutional control favors Wadagni's path to victory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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