Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks amid unresolved territorial disputes in Donbas and Zaporizhzhia, ongoing Russian offensives, and lack of direct diplomatic breakthroughs despite Zelenskyy's repeated offers for neutral-site summits. Recent drivers include Putin's April 10 announcement of a 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire—which Zelenskyy accepted but framed as limited—and Zelenskyy's April 9 statement openness to meetings in the Middle East, Europe, or US, excluding Russia or Belarus. Earlier February Geneva trilateral talks and paused UAE sessions elevated slim odds for Qatar/UAE (2.4%), Turkey (2.3%), and US (2.1%) as prior mediation venues, though core sticking points like occupied territories and security guarantees persist without scheduled leader-level engagements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo meeting before 2027 81%
Turkey 2.5%
Qatar / UAE 2.4%
US 2.0%
$2,044,489 Vol.
$2,044,489 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
81%

Turkey
3%

Qatar / UAE
2%

US
2%

Hungary
2%

Switzerland
2%

Russia
1%

Saudi Arabia
1%

Belarus
1%

China
1%

India
1%

Ukraine
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
No meeting before 2027 81%
Turkey 2.5%
Qatar / UAE 2.4%
US 2.0%
$2,044,489 Vol.
$2,044,489 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
81%

Turkey
3%

Qatar / UAE
2%

US
2%

Hungary
2%

Switzerland
2%

Russia
1%

Saudi Arabia
1%

Belarus
1%

China
1%

India
1%

Ukraine
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks amid unresolved territorial disputes in Donbas and Zaporizhzhia, ongoing Russian offensives, and lack of direct diplomatic breakthroughs despite Zelenskyy's repeated offers for neutral-site summits. Recent drivers include Putin's April 10 announcement of a 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire—which Zelenskyy accepted but framed as limited—and Zelenskyy's April 9 statement openness to meetings in the Middle East, Europe, or US, excluding Russia or Belarus. Earlier February Geneva trilateral talks and paused UAE sessions elevated slim odds for Qatar/UAE (2.4%), Turkey (2.3%), and US (2.1%) as prior mediation venues, though core sticking points like occupied territories and security guarantees persist without scheduled leader-level engagements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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