Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between President Trump and President Putin by June 30, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or confirmed summit plans amid ongoing U.S.-Russia tensions over Ukraine and recent Middle East escalations. Russian special envoy Kirill Dmitriev's April 9 visit to the U.S. for talks with Trump administration officials on oil sanctions and Ukraine yielded no leaders' summit signals, with the Kremlin explicitly downplaying implications for direct negotiations. Earlier March phone discussions between the leaders focused on diplomatic settlements in Ukraine and Iran without scheduling a venue. Geopolitical frictions, including stalled peace talks and sanctions pressures, reinforce trader skepticism for a pre-deadline encounter, though envoy channels remain active.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 86.7%
Russia 2.1%
Other EU country 2.0%
China 1.9%
$4,852,278 Vol.
$4,852,278 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
87%

Russia
2%

Other EU country
2%

China
2%

Switzerland
2%

Turkey
1%

United States
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by June 30 86.7%
Russia 2.1%
Other EU country 2.0%
China 1.9%
$4,852,278 Vol.
$4,852,278 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
87%

Russia
2%

Other EU country
2%

China
2%

Switzerland
2%

Turkey
1%

United States
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between President Trump and President Putin by June 30, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or confirmed summit plans amid ongoing U.S.-Russia tensions over Ukraine and recent Middle East escalations. Russian special envoy Kirill Dmitriev's April 9 visit to the U.S. for talks with Trump administration officials on oil sanctions and Ukraine yielded no leaders' summit signals, with the Kremlin explicitly downplaying implications for direct negotiations. Earlier March phone discussions between the leaders focused on diplomatic settlements in Ukraine and Iran without scheduling a venue. Geopolitical frictions, including stalled peace talks and sanctions pressures, reinforce trader skepticism for a pre-deadline encounter, though envoy channels remain active.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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