Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Apr 14

Apr 17

Apr 21

Apr 14

Apr 17

Apr 21

TWEET COUNT
18
Time left
TWEETS
18
Time left

25-29 42.0%

30-34 4.8%

40-44 3.0%

35-39 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

25-29 42.0%

30-34 4.8%

40-44 3.0%

35-39 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

15-19

$595 Vol.

37%

20-24

$230 Vol.

44%

25-29

$180 Vol.

42%

30-34

$146 Vol.

20%

35-39

$338 Vol.

3%

40-44

$214 Vol.

3%

45-49

$272 Vol.

3%

50-54

$253 Vol.

3%

55-59

$379 Vol.

3%

60+

$538 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20-24 posts (52%) from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) highest during April 7-14, with 25-29 (42%) close behind and 15-19 (38.8%) competitive, reflecting the account's sustained activity sharing past statements since his martyrdom in late February 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes. Recent outputs include an April 7 condemnation of the Zionist regime amid regional escalations, April 5 Easter message and Tabas reference, and April 3 on Western savagery, averaging 1-2 daily amid 2025-2026 Iranian protests, internet restrictions, and proxy conflicts in Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq. This post-death cadence exceeds prior norms, positioning 30+ ranges low barring sudden diplomatic or military catalysts before April 14 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,096
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20-24 posts (52%) from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) highest during April 7-14, with 25-29 (42%) close behind and 15-19 (38.8%) competitive, reflecting the account's sustained activity sharing past statements since his martyrdom in late February 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes. Recent outputs include an April 7 condemnation of the Zionist regime amid regional escalations, April 5 Easter message and Tabas reference, and April 3 on Western savagery, averaging 1-2 daily amid 2025-2026 Iranian protests, internet restrictions, and proxy conflicts in Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq. This post-death cadence exceeds prior norms, positioning 30+ ranges low barring sudden diplomatic or military catalysts before April 14 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,096
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Related

Market icon

Will the Patek Index hit $106,000 (HIGH) by April 30?

38%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-24" at 44%, followed by "25-29" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is "20-24" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25-29" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.