A federal judge's March 31 injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom project—replacing the East Wing—ruling it requires congressional authorization, as no statute grants the president unilateral authority over the historic grounds. Despite the Trump administration's immediate appeal and emergency motion citing national security, and the National Capital Planning Commission's 8-1 design approval on April 2, construction remains blocked pending judicial or legislative resolution. Trader consensus at 95.5% "No" reflects the short April 30 deadline, slim prospects for swift congressional action amid public opposition, and typical appeals court timelines; potential shifts include an expedited stay from the D.C. Circuit or unlikely rapid appropriations bill passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
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Apr 30, 2026
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Apr 30, 2026
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 31 injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom project—replacing the East Wing—ruling it requires congressional authorization, as no statute grants the president unilateral authority over the historic grounds. Despite the Trump administration's immediate appeal and emergency motion citing national security, and the National Capital Planning Commission's 8-1 design approval on April 2, construction remains blocked pending judicial or legislative resolution. Trader consensus at 95.5% "No" reflects the short April 30 deadline, slim prospects for swift congressional action amid public opposition, and typical appeals court timelines; potential shifts include an expedited stay from the D.C. Circuit or unlikely rapid appropriations bill passage.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Volume
$4,282End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 31 injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom project—replacing the East Wing—ruling it requires congressional authorization, as no statute grants the president unilateral authority over the historic grounds. Despite the Trump administration's immediate appeal and emergency motion citing national security, and the National Capital Planning Commission's 8-1 design approval on April 2, construction remains blocked pending judicial or legislative resolution. Trader consensus at 95.5% "No" reflects the short April 30 deadline, slim prospects for swift congressional action amid public opposition, and typical appeals court timelines; potential shifts include an expedited stay from the D.C. Circuit or unlikely rapid appropriations bill passage.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,282End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge's March 31 injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom project—replacing the East Wing—ruling it requires congressional authorization, as no statute grants the president unilateral authority over the historic grounds. Despite the Trump administration's immediate appeal and emergency motion citing national security, and the National Capital Planning Commission's 8-1 design approval on April 2, construction remains blocked pending judicial or legislative resolution. Trader consensus at 95.5% "No" reflects the short April 30 deadline, slim prospects for swift congressional action amid public opposition, and typical appeals court timelines; potential shifts include an expedited stay from the D.C. Circuit or unlikely rapid appropriations bill passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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