Trader consensus prices "No" at 96% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure despite March 2026 resignation attempts amid Israeli airstrikes, internal IRGC infighting, and the recent Supreme Leader transition following Ali Khamenei's assassination. Those bids were rebuffed, with Pezeshkian publicly affirming his commitment as of early April amid US-Iran ceasefire talks reported April 10. Iran's constitution mandates a snap election within 50 days of a presidential vacancy—typically death, resignation, or incapacitation—but with under three months remaining, no such trigger has materialized, and the 2028 regular election remains scheduled. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, accepted resignation, or escalation forcing leadership change, though de-escalation signals reduce near-term odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$199,439 Vol.
$199,439 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$199,439 Vol.
$199,439 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure despite March 2026 resignation attempts amid Israeli airstrikes, internal IRGC infighting, and the recent Supreme Leader transition following Ali Khamenei's assassination. Those bids were rebuffed, with Pezeshkian publicly affirming his commitment as of early April amid US-Iran ceasefire talks reported April 10. Iran's constitution mandates a snap election within 50 days of a presidential vacancy—typically death, resignation, or incapacitation—but with under three months remaining, no such trigger has materialized, and the 2028 regular election remains scheduled. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, accepted resignation, or escalation forcing leadership change, though de-escalation signals reduce near-term odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volume
$199,439End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure despite March 2026 resignation attempts amid Israeli airstrikes, internal IRGC infighting, and the recent Supreme Leader transition following Ali Khamenei's assassination. Those bids were rebuffed, with Pezeshkian publicly affirming his commitment as of early April amid US-Iran ceasefire talks reported April 10. Iran's constitution mandates a snap election within 50 days of a presidential vacancy—typically death, resignation, or incapacitation—but with under three months remaining, no such trigger has materialized, and the 2028 regular election remains scheduled. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, accepted resignation, or escalation forcing leadership change, though de-escalation signals reduce near-term odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$199,439End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure despite March 2026 resignation attempts amid Israeli airstrikes, internal IRGC infighting, and the recent Supreme Leader transition following Ali Khamenei's assassination. Those bids were rebuffed, with Pezeshkian publicly affirming his commitment as of early April amid US-Iran ceasefire talks reported April 10. Iran's constitution mandates a snap election within 50 days of a presidential vacancy—typically death, resignation, or incapacitation—but with under three months remaining, no such trigger has materialized, and the 2028 regular election remains scheduled. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, accepted resignation, or escalation forcing leadership change, though de-escalation signals reduce near-term odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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