Trader consensus favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 at 75.5%, reflecting the absence of concrete diplomatic announcements or advanced negotiations in recent weeks despite ongoing U.S. efforts to expand the pacts. Kazakhstan formalized its accession in November 2025, the most recent addition, while Saudi Arabia and Syria have expressed interest amid heightened regional tensions with Iran following the 2023-2025 conflicts, but no commitments have materialized. President Trump's March 27 public urging of Riyadh to normalize ties with Israel, coupled with a U.S. UN statement on April 2 supporting broader Arab League involvement, has not yielded breakthroughs, underscoring procedural hurdles and the compressed timeline as key barriers to further expansion before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,165 Vol.
$21,165 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$21,165 Vol.
$21,165 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 at 75.5%, reflecting the absence of concrete diplomatic announcements or advanced negotiations in recent weeks despite ongoing U.S. efforts to expand the pacts. Kazakhstan formalized its accession in November 2025, the most recent addition, while Saudi Arabia and Syria have expressed interest amid heightened regional tensions with Iran following the 2023-2025 conflicts, but no commitments have materialized. President Trump's March 27 public urging of Riyadh to normalize ties with Israel, coupled with a U.S. UN statement on April 2 supporting broader Arab League involvement, has not yielded breakthroughs, underscoring procedural hurdles and the compressed timeline as key barriers to further expansion before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$21,165End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 at 75.5%, reflecting the absence of concrete diplomatic announcements or advanced negotiations in recent weeks despite ongoing U.S. efforts to expand the pacts. Kazakhstan formalized its accession in November 2025, the most recent addition, while Saudi Arabia and Syria have expressed interest amid heightened regional tensions with Iran following the 2023-2025 conflicts, but no commitments have materialized. President Trump's March 27 public urging of Riyadh to normalize ties with Israel, coupled with a U.S. UN statement on April 2 supporting broader Arab League involvement, has not yielded breakthroughs, underscoring procedural hurdles and the compressed timeline as key barriers to further expansion before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,165End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 at 75.5%, reflecting the absence of concrete diplomatic announcements or advanced negotiations in recent weeks despite ongoing U.S. efforts to expand the pacts. Kazakhstan formalized its accession in November 2025, the most recent addition, while Saudi Arabia and Syria have expressed interest amid heightened regional tensions with Iran following the 2023-2025 conflicts, but no commitments have materialized. President Trump's March 27 public urging of Riyadh to normalize ties with Israel, coupled with a U.S. UN statement on April 2 supporting broader Arab League involvement, has not yielded breakthroughs, underscoring procedural hurdles and the compressed timeline as key barriers to further expansion before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions