A federal judge's April 3 ruling upholding the quashing of DOJ subpoenas has stalled the criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over alleged false congressional testimony on headquarters renovations exceeding $1 billion, citing scant evidence of wrongdoing and apparent political pressure to influence interest rates. Launched in January 2026 by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro's office, the investigation prompted no indictment despite grand jury involvement, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.2% for no charges by June 30 amid Powell's May 15 chair term expiration—though his governor role extends to 2028. A successful DOJ appeal or fresh evidence could revive risks, but judicial skepticism dominates current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$255,489 Vol.
$255,489 Vol.
$255,489 Vol.
$255,489 Vol.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge's April 3 ruling upholding the quashing of DOJ subpoenas has stalled the criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over alleged false congressional testimony on headquarters renovations exceeding $1 billion, citing scant evidence of wrongdoing and apparent political pressure to influence interest rates. Launched in January 2026 by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro's office, the investigation prompted no indictment despite grand jury involvement, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.2% for no charges by June 30 amid Powell's May 15 chair term expiration—though his governor role extends to 2028. A successful DOJ appeal or fresh evidence could revive risks, but judicial skepticism dominates current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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