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2nd largest company end of April?

Market icon

2nd largest company end of April?

Apr 30

Apr 30

Alphabet 52%

Apple 47%

NVIDIA 1.1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$1,254,533 Vol.

Alphabet 52%

Apple 47%

NVIDIA 1.1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$1,254,533 Vol.

Market icon

Alphabet

$81,793 Vol.

52%

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Apple

$93,528 Vol.

47%

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NVIDIA

$701,103 Vol.

1%

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Microsoft

$191,783 Vol.

<1%

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Amazon

$62,034 Vol.

<1%

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Tesla

$64,834 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Aramco

$59,458 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA holds the top spot with a $4.58 trillion market cap, leaving the battle for second place as a nail-biter between Apple ($3.83T) and Alphabet ($3.82T), separated by a mere $9 billion. Polymarket's trader consensus prices Alphabet at 51.5% implied probability to overtake Apple by April's end—versus 46% for Apple—reflecting Alphabet's recent share price momentum (+0.21% daily versus Apple's flat performance) and anticipation around its Q1 2026 earnings on April 29, where Google Cloud growth and AI advancements could catalyze a valuation flip. Apple's services resilience provides a counterbalance, but its Q2 fiscal results follow on April 30, post-resolution. Key swing factors include trading volume surges and macro tech sentiment amid AI hype.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,254,533
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA holds the top spot with a $4.58 trillion market cap, leaving the battle for second place as a nail-biter between Apple ($3.83T) and Alphabet ($3.82T), separated by a mere $9 billion. Polymarket's trader consensus prices Alphabet at 51.5% implied probability to overtake Apple by April's end—versus 46% for Apple—reflecting Alphabet's recent share price momentum (+0.21% daily versus Apple's flat performance) and anticipation around its Q1 2026 earnings on April 29, where Google Cloud growth and AI advancements could catalyze a valuation flip. Apple's services resilience provides a counterbalance, but its Q2 fiscal results follow on April 30, post-resolution. Key swing factors include trading volume surges and macro tech sentiment amid AI hype.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,254,533
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alphabet" at 52%, followed by "Apple" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd largest company end of April?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd largest company end of April?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd largest company end of April?" is "Alphabet" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.