**Madison Air Solutions' recent S-1/A filing on April 6, 2026, anchors trader sentiment by setting an IPO price range of $25–$27 per share for 82.7 million Class A shares, implying a fully diluted market cap of roughly $12.2 billion at the low end to $13.2 billion at the high end.** Polymarket's closely contested implied probabilities—28.6% for 13.0B–13.5B, 26.5% for 13.5B+, and 22.5% for 12.5B–13.0B—reflect uncertainty over roadshow demand amid data center tailwinds driving ventilation and filtration revenue growth, offset by leverage concerns and a $2.23 billion debt paydown use of proceeds. Differentiators include exposure to AI infrastructure buildout versus traditional industrial peers, with pricing expected imminently ahead of a June 2026 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated13.0B–13.5B 28.6%
13.5B+ 27%
12.5B–13.0B 23%
No IPO before June 2026 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
<12.0B
8%
12.0B–12.5B
9%
12.5B–13.0B
23%
13.0B–13.5B
29%
13.5B+
27%
No IPO before June 2026
10%
13.0B–13.5B 28.6%
13.5B+ 27%
12.5B–13.0B 23%
No IPO before June 2026 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
<12.0B
$226 Vol.
8%
12.0B–12.5B
$200 Vol.
9%
12.5B–13.0B
$237 Vol.
23%
13.0B–13.5B
$260 Vol.
29%
13.5B+
$271 Vol.
27%
No IPO before June 2026
$160 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**Madison Air Solutions' recent S-1/A filing on April 6, 2026, anchors trader sentiment by setting an IPO price range of $25–$27 per share for 82.7 million Class A shares, implying a fully diluted market cap of roughly $12.2 billion at the low end to $13.2 billion at the high end.** Polymarket's closely contested implied probabilities—28.6% for 13.0B–13.5B, 26.5% for 13.5B+, and 22.5% for 12.5B–13.0B—reflect uncertainty over roadshow demand amid data center tailwinds driving ventilation and filtration revenue growth, offset by leverage concerns and a $2.23 billion debt paydown use of proceeds. Differentiators include exposure to AI infrastructure buildout versus traditional industrial peers, with pricing expected imminently ahead of a June 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Volume
$1,354End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**Madison Air Solutions' recent S-1/A filing on April 6, 2026, anchors trader sentiment by setting an IPO price range of $25–$27 per share for 82.7 million Class A shares, implying a fully diluted market cap of roughly $12.2 billion at the low end to $13.2 billion at the high end.** Polymarket's closely contested implied probabilities—28.6% for 13.0B–13.5B, 26.5% for 13.5B+, and 22.5% for 12.5B–13.0B—reflect uncertainty over roadshow demand amid data center tailwinds driving ventilation and filtration revenue growth, offset by leverage concerns and a $2.23 billion debt paydown use of proceeds. Differentiators include exposure to AI infrastructure buildout versus traditional industrial peers, with pricing expected imminently ahead of a June 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,354End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Madison Air Solutions' recent S-1/A filing on April 6, 2026, anchors trader sentiment by setting an IPO price range of $25–$27 per share for 82.7 million Class A shares, implying a fully diluted market cap of roughly $12.2 billion at the low end to $13.2 billion at the high end.** Polymarket's closely contested implied probabilities—28.6% for 13.0B–13.5B, 26.5% for 13.5B+, and 22.5% for 12.5B–13.0B—reflect uncertainty over roadshow demand amid data center tailwinds driving ventilation and filtration revenue growth, offset by leverage concerns and a $2.23 billion debt paydown use of proceeds. Differentiators include exposure to AI infrastructure buildout versus traditional industrial peers, with pricing expected imminently ahead of a June 2026 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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