US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad on April 10, 2026, to lead direct bilateral talks with an Iranian delegation, including parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, hosted by Pakistan following a US-brokered two-week ceasefire with Iran and Israel on April 7-8 amid escalating hostilities over the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon strikes. President Trump has set firm deadlines for negotiations, describing recent indirect contacts as "positive," while Tehran insists on no talks under duress. UN Secretary-General Guterres urged good-faith diplomacy. Earlier February-March nuclear discussions in Geneva yielded no deal but reactivated channels, shaping trader focus on potential breakthroughs or impasse in these high-stakes foreign policy efforts before the truce expires.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$5,591,575 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
April 10
1%
April 11
94%
April 12
98%
April 13
98%
April 14
98%
April 15
98%
April 30
99%
May 31
99%
June 15
100%
June 30
99%
$5,591,575 Vol.
April 10
$2,779,066 Vol.
1%
April 11
$174,238 Vol.
94%
April 12
$25,838 Vol.
98%
April 13
$19,187 Vol.
98%
April 14
$7,594 Vol.
98%
April 15
$565,927 Vol.
98%
April 30
$854,379 Vol.
99%
May 31
$37,005 Vol.
99%
June 15
$13,892 Vol.
100%
June 30
$130,876 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad on April 10, 2026, to lead direct bilateral talks with an Iranian delegation, including parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, hosted by Pakistan following a US-brokered two-week ceasefire with Iran and Israel on April 7-8 amid escalating hostilities over the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon strikes. President Trump has set firm deadlines for negotiations, describing recent indirect contacts as "positive," while Tehran insists on no talks under duress. UN Secretary-General Guterres urged good-faith diplomacy. Earlier February-March nuclear discussions in Geneva yielded no deal but reactivated channels, shaping trader focus on potential breakthroughs or impasse in these high-stakes foreign policy efforts before the truce expires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$5,591,575End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad on April 10, 2026, to lead direct bilateral talks with an Iranian delegation, including parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, hosted by Pakistan following a US-brokered two-week ceasefire with Iran and Israel on April 7-8 amid escalating hostilities over the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon strikes. President Trump has set firm deadlines for negotiations, describing recent indirect contacts as "positive," while Tehran insists on no talks under duress. UN Secretary-General Guterres urged good-faith diplomacy. Earlier February-March nuclear discussions in Geneva yielded no deal but reactivated channels, shaping trader focus on potential breakthroughs or impasse in these high-stakes foreign policy efforts before the truce expires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,591,575End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad on April 10, 2026, to lead direct bilateral talks with an Iranian delegation, including parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, hosted by Pakistan following a US-brokered two-week ceasefire with Iran and Israel on April 7-8 amid escalating hostilities over the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon strikes. President Trump has set firm deadlines for negotiations, describing recent indirect contacts as "positive," while Tehran insists on no talks under duress. UN Secretary-General Guterres urged good-faith diplomacy. Earlier February-March nuclear discussions in Geneva yielded no deal but reactivated channels, shaping trader focus on potential breakthroughs or impasse in these high-stakes foreign policy efforts before the truce expires.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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