Following a U.S. military operation dubbed Epic Fury that neutralized key Iranian threats, Iran agreed to a ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening three days ago, paving the way for mediated peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan. Delegations led by U.S. Vice President JD Vance arrived yesterday amid tight security, but negotiations faced early delays and hurdles, with Iran insisting contacts remain indirect via Pakistani mediators rather than direct bilateral diplomacy. State Department statements emphasize Iran's need to curb terrorism sponsorship, while upcoming sessions could test de-escalation signals and potential for face-to-face meetings before any resolution deadline. Trader consensus reflects fragile progress after weeks of escalation, hinging on diplomatic breakthroughs or breakdowns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$5,813,183 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
April 10
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April 11
92%
April 12
97%
April 13
97%
April 14
98%
April 15
99%
April 30
99%
May 31
99%
June 15
99%
June 30
99%
$5,813,183 Vol.
April 10
$2,986,855 Vol.
3%
April 11
$182,952 Vol.
92%
April 12
$29,102 Vol.
97%
April 13
$19,260 Vol.
97%
April 14
$9,334 Vol.
98%
April 15
$567,906 Vol.
99%
April 30
$858,500 Vol.
99%
May 31
$37,015 Vol.
99%
June 15
$25,096 Vol.
99%
June 30
$130,920 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following a U.S. military operation dubbed Epic Fury that neutralized key Iranian threats, Iran agreed to a ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening three days ago, paving the way for mediated peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan. Delegations led by U.S. Vice President JD Vance arrived yesterday amid tight security, but negotiations faced early delays and hurdles, with Iran insisting contacts remain indirect via Pakistani mediators rather than direct bilateral diplomacy. State Department statements emphasize Iran's need to curb terrorism sponsorship, while upcoming sessions could test de-escalation signals and potential for face-to-face meetings before any resolution deadline. Trader consensus reflects fragile progress after weeks of escalation, hinging on diplomatic breakthroughs or breakdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Volume
$5,813,183End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following a U.S. military operation dubbed Epic Fury that neutralized key Iranian threats, Iran agreed to a ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening three days ago, paving the way for mediated peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan. Delegations led by U.S. Vice President JD Vance arrived yesterday amid tight security, but negotiations faced early delays and hurdles, with Iran insisting contacts remain indirect via Pakistani mediators rather than direct bilateral diplomacy. State Department statements emphasize Iran's need to curb terrorism sponsorship, while upcoming sessions could test de-escalation signals and potential for face-to-face meetings before any resolution deadline. Trader consensus reflects fragile progress after weeks of escalation, hinging on diplomatic breakthroughs or breakdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,813,183End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following a U.S. military operation dubbed Epic Fury that neutralized key Iranian threats, Iran agreed to a ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening three days ago, paving the way for mediated peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan. Delegations led by U.S. Vice President JD Vance arrived yesterday amid tight security, but negotiations faced early delays and hurdles, with Iran insisting contacts remain indirect via Pakistani mediators rather than direct bilateral diplomacy. State Department statements emphasize Iran's need to curb terrorism sponsorship, while upcoming sessions could test de-escalation signals and potential for face-to-face meetings before any resolution deadline. Trader consensus reflects fragile progress after weeks of escalation, hinging on diplomatic breakthroughs or breakdowns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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